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Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 10

Alcione

10th in table · 12 pts

DLDDD

Sun 18 Oct 202616:30 WAT

3 : 0

Live 45'

Desenzano Calvina

8th in table · 13 pts

LDDWW

Pre-match win probability

10%Alcione45%Draw45%Desenzano Calvina

Our prediction

Draw

Both sides rate within 3 points — a genuine coin-flip fixture.

Odds3.00
Confidence60%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alcione 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Desenzano Calvina 45%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone A · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.60.8
Clean sheets
14
Failed to scoreLower is better
24
Wins
23
Biggest win streak
11

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Alcione2W 6D 2L in last 10
  • 11 OctLecco1 – 1AlcioneD
  • 4 OctAlcione2 – 2TrentoD
  • 27 SeptAlbinoleffe1 – 1AlcioneD
  • 20 SeptAlcione0 – 4Union BresciaL
  • 17 SeptPRO Vercelli2 – 2AlcioneD
Desenzano Calvina4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 10 OctDesenzano Calvina2 – 0Dolomiti BellunesiW
  • 3 OctFolgore Caratese1 – 2Desenzano CalvinaW
  • 26 SeptDesenzano Calvina0 – 0Juventus U23D
  • 21 SeptTreviso0 – 0Desenzano CalvinaD
  • 17 SeptDesenzano Calvina1 – 3LeccoL
H2H
Head to headAlcione 2W · 1D · Desenzano Calvina 0W · 2 goals a game
  • 14 MayAlcione2 – 1Desenzano Calvina
  • 6 AprDesenzano Calvina1 – 1Alcione
  • 27 NovAlcione1 – 0Desenzano Calvina

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.4
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals91%10%
1.5 goals68%32%
2.5 goals42%58%
3.5 goals21%79%

Both teams to score

Yes47.6%
No52.4%

Double chance

1X · Alcione or draw60.3%
12 · No draw72.1%
X2 · Desenzano Calvina or draw67.6%

Correct score

1 – 113.1%
0 – 111.9%
1 – 010.5%

Both teams to score

Yes47.6%
No52.4%

1X

Chance60.3%

12

Chance72.1%

X2

Chance67.6%

1 – 1

Chance13.1%

0 – 1

Chance11.9%

1 – 0

Chance10.5%

0 – 0

Chance9.5%

1 – 2

Chance8.2%

0 – 2

Chance7.5%

2 – 1

Chance7.2%

2 – 0

Chance5.8%

1 / 1

Chance18.4%

1 / X

Chance4.9%

1 / 2

Chance1.9%

X / 1

Chance12.4%

X / X

Chance18.1%

X / 2

Chance14.7%

2 / 1

Chance1.7%

2 / X

Chance4.9%

2 / 2

Chance23.1%

Home -0.5

Chance40%
Odds2.35

Away +0.5

Chance60%
Odds1.58

Home -0.25

Chance47%
Odds2.02

Away +0.25

Chance53%
Odds1.78

Home +0.25

Chance64%
Odds1.48

Away -0.25

Chance36%
Odds2.60

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 8.5

Chance54%
Odds1.73

Under 8.5

Chance46%
Odds2.00

Over 9

Chance47%
Odds2.02

Under 9

Chance53%
Odds1.78

Total corners over/under.

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Draw at 3.00

AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
Recent form33%67%
Attack55%45%
Defence29%71%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head87%13%
Overall51%49%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Alcione13 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Desenzano Calvina7 scored · 8 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

7 match streak · Serie C - Girone A

Alcione have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Serie C - Girone A.

4 match streak · Serie C - Girone A

Desenzano Calvina are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Serie C - Girone A.

Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni

Alcione host Desenzano Calvina in Italy Serie C - Girone A at Stadio Ernesto Breda. In the table, Alcione sit 10th on 12 points and Desenzano Calvina are 8th on 13.

Form: Alcione have taken 0W 4D 1L from their last 5, Desenzano Calvina 2W 2D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Alcione average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Desenzano Calvina average 0.9 and 0.7.

In their last 3 meetings Alcione have won 2, Desenzano Calvina 0 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 67%.

The feed's model puts Alcione at 10%, the draw at 45% and Desenzano Calvina at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina.

Our call for this match is Draw at 3.00. Both sides rate within 3 points — a genuine coin-flip fixture.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Alcione and Desenzano Calvina?

Alcione v Desenzano Calvina is scheduled on Sun, 18 October 2026 at 15:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Italy Serie C - Girone A, Girone A - 10.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Alcione are 10th in the table, while Desenzano Calvina are 8th.

What is the prediction for Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?

Our prediction is Draw at odds of 3.00.

Who is most likely to win Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?

The draw and Desenzano Calvina are level at the top: Alcione 10%, draw 45%, Desenzano Calvina 45%.

Will both teams score in Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina?

Both teams scored in 70% of Alcione's last 10 matches and 40% of Desenzano Calvina's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.