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Bournemouth vs Sunderland Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7

Bournemouth

15th in table · 6 pts

DWLLW

Sun 18 Oct 202614:00 WAT

2 : 0

Full time Prediction won

Sunderland

19th in table · 4 pts

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

10%Bournemouth45%Draw45%Sunderland

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Odds1.25
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bournemouth 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Sunderland 45%

Season statistics

Premier League · 7 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BournemouthSunderland
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.92
Clean sheets
11
Failed to scoreLower is better
13
Wins
11
Biggest win streak
01

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Bournemouth3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 15 OctBournemouth3 – 0Sturm GrazW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthL
  • 20 SeptBournemouth0 – 1LiverpoolL
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthW
  • 12 SeptBournemouth2 – 2BrentfordD
Sunderland5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 15 OctTorreense1 – 2SunderlandW
  • 10 OctSunderland0 – 2BrightonL
  • 20 SeptManchester City5 – 3SunderlandL
  • 16 SeptSunderland1 – 0AZ AlkmaarW
  • 12 SeptSunderland0 – 2ArsenalL
H2H
Head to headBournemouth 2W · 2D · Sunderland 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 28 FebBournemouth1 – 1Sunderland
  • 29 NovSunderland3 – 2Bournemouth
  • 29 AprSunderland0 – 1Bournemouth
  • 5 NovBournemouth1 – 2Sunderland
  • 23 JanSunderland1 – 1Bournemouth
  • 19 SeptBournemouth2 – 0Sunderland

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.1
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%5%
1.5 goals81%19%
2.5 goals59%41%
3.5 goals36%64%

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X · Bournemouth or draw67.4%
12 · No draw76.1%
X2 · Sunderland or draw56.5%

Correct score

1 – 110.9%
2 – 19%
1 – 07.8%

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

1X

Chance67.4%

12

Chance76.1%

X2

Chance56.5%

1 – 1

Chance10.9%

2 – 1

Chance9%

1 – 0

Chance7.8%

1 – 2

Chance7.7%

0 – 1

Chance6.6%

2 – 0

Chance6.4%

2 – 2

Chance6.3%

3 – 1

Chance5%

1 / 1

Chance26.5%

1 / X

Chance5.3%

1 / 2

Chance2.3%

X / 1

Chance14.2%

X / X

Chance13.2%

X / 2

Chance11.2%

2 / 1

Chance2.8%

2 / X

Chance5.3%

2 / 2

Chance19.1%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

BournemouthSunderland
Recent form43%57%
Attack55%45%
Defence48%52%
Goals model51%49%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall47%53%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Bournemouth8 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Sunderland6 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Bournemouth

Total shots18
Blocked4.5
58% off target42% on target
60% inside box40% outside box
Total passes461.3
Accurate passes380.2 (82%)
Possession54%

Sunderland

Total shots16
Blocked4.3
60% off target40% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes400.2
Accurate passes325 (81%)
Possession52%

Trends

7 match streak · Premier League

Bournemouth have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Premier League.

4 match streak · Premier League

Sunderland have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Premier League.

Team news

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Coach: Marco Rose

  1. D. Petrovic
  2. A. Smith
  3. J. Hill
  4. A. Silva
  5. A. Truffert
  6. T. Adams
  7. R. Christie
  8. Rayan
  9. L. Cook
  10. M. Tavernier
  11. Evanilson

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

Coach: Regis Le Bris

  1. R. Roefs
  2. N. Mukiele
  3. K. Danso
  4. O. Alderete
  5. R. Mandava
  6. G. Xhaka
  7. N. Sadiki
  8. T. Hume
  9. C. Rigg
  10. E. Le Fee
  11. T. Tuterov

Injuries and suspensions

  • J. Araujo (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth): Foot Injury
  • A. Scott (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • D. Ballard (Sunderland): Muscle Injury
  • W. Isidor (Sunderland): Injury
  • T. Meunier (Sunderland): Muscle Injury
  • R. Mundle (Sunderland): Knee Injury
  • J. Araujo (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth): Foot Injury
  • A. Scott (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • D. Ballard (Sunderland): Muscle Injury
  • W. Isidor (Sunderland): Injury

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth host Sunderland in England Premier League at Vitality Stadium. In the current table, Bournemouth sit 15th on 6 points and Sunderland are 19th on 4.

Form: Bournemouth have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Sunderland 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Bournemouth average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded; Sunderland average 1.2 and 1.4.

In their last 6 meetings Bournemouth have won 2, Sunderland 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 67%.

The feed's model puts Bournemouth at 10%, the draw at 45% and Sunderland at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Sunderland.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Bournemouth vs Sunderland FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Bournemouth and Sunderland?

Bournemouth v Sunderland was played on Sun, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

England Premier League, Regular Season - 7.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Bournemouth are 15th in the table, while Sunderland are 19th.

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

The draw and Sunderland are level at the top: Bournemouth 10%, draw 45%, Sunderland 45%.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Both teams scored in 70% of Bournemouth's last 10 matches and 50% of Sunderland's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.