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Danubio vs Central Espanol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónClausura - 11

Danubio

16th in table · 29 pts

DLWLW

Sun 18 Oct 202619:00 WAT

vs

Not started

Central Espanol

10th in table · 38 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

45%Danubio45%Draw10%Central Espanol

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.36.

Odds1.36
Confidence80%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Danubio 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Central Espanol 10%

Season statistics

Primera División · 32 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

DanubioCentral Espanol
Goals scored (avg)
0.81
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.3
Clean sheets
710
Failed to scoreLower is better
1511
Wins
510
Biggest win streak
23

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Danubio2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioW
  • 9 OctAtletico Torque1 – 0DanubioL
  • 4 OctDanubio2 – 1Cerro LargoW
  • 27 SeptDefensor Sporting1 – 0DanubioL
  • 24 SeptDanubio1 – 1PenarolD
Central Espanol2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6DanubioL
  • 11 OctCentral Espanol0 – 1Club NacionalL
  • 3 OctDeportivo Maldonado3 – 0Central EspanolL
  • 27 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 2Liverpool MontevideoL
  • 21 SeptCentral Espanol1 – 4Atletico TorqueL
H2H
Head to headDanubio 1W · 3D · Central Espanol 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 15 OctCentral Espanol0 – 6Danubio
  • 12 AprCentral Espanol2 – 2Danubio
  • 15 SeptDanubio1 – 1Central Espanol
  • 2 JunCentral Espanol0 – 0Danubio
  • 4 MayDanubio0 – 2Central Espanol
  • 10 NovCentral Espanol1 – 0Danubio

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals89%11%
1.5 goals65%36%
2.5 goals38%62%
3.5 goals18%82%

Both teams to score

Yes44.4%
No55.6%

Double chance

1X · Danubio or draw62%
12 · No draw70.9%
X2 · Central Espanol or draw67.1%

Correct score

1 – 113.4%
0 – 112.7%
1 – 011.6%

Both teams to score

Yes44.4%
No55.6%

1X

Chance62%

12

Chance70.9%

X2

Chance67.1%

1 – 1

Chance13.4%

0 – 1

Chance12.7%

1 – 0

Chance11.6%

0 – 0

Chance11.1%

1 – 2

Chance7.7%

0 – 2

Chance7.3%

2 – 1

Chance7%

2 – 0

Chance6.1%

1 / 1

Chance18.6%

1 / X

Chance4.8%

1 / 2

Chance1.7%

X / 1

Chance12.8%

X / X

Chance19.5%

X / 2

Chance14.5%

2 / 1

Chance1.5%

2 / X

Chance4.8%

2 / 2

Chance21.8%

Home -0.75

Chance42%
Odds2.25

Away +0.75

Chance58%
Odds1.62

Home -0.5

Chance49%
Odds1.95

Away +0.5

Chance51%
Odds1.85

Home -0.25

Chance57%
Odds1.65

Away +0.25

Chance43%
Odds2.20

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 9

Chance50%
Odds1.90

Under 9

Chance50%
Odds1.90

Over 9.5

Chance44%
Odds2.10

Under 9.5

Chance56%
Odds1.67

Total corners over/under.

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Danubio · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36

DanubioCentral Espanol
Recent form83%17%
Attack67%33%
Defence67%33%
Goals model57%43%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall65%35%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Danubio26 scored · 41 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Central Espanol33 scored · 42 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Danubio

Total shots10.5
Blocked0
76% off target24% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession49%

Central Espanol

Total shots5.5
Blocked0
55% off target45% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession46%

Trends

7 match streak · Primera División

Danubio have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Primera División.

4 match streak · Primera División

Central Espanol have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Primera División.

Danubio vs Central Espanol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo

Danubio host Central Espanol in Uruguay Primera División at Gardens of the Hippodrome. In the table, Danubio sit 16th on 29 points and Central Espanol are 10th on 38.

Form: Danubio have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Central Espanol 0W 0D 5L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Danubio average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Central Espanol average 1.1 and 2.0.

In their last 6 meetings Danubio have won 1, Central Espanol 2 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 33%.

The feed's model puts Danubio at 45%, the draw at 45% and Central Espanol at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Danubio or draw.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.36. The market prices at least two goals at 1.36.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Danubio vs Central Espanol FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Danubio and Central Espanol?

Danubio v Central Espanol is scheduled on Sun, 18 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Uruguay Primera División, Clausura - 11.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Danubio are 16th in the table, while Central Espanol are 10th.

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Central Espanol?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.36.

Who is most likely to win Danubio vs Central Espanol?

Danubio and The draw are level at the top: Danubio 45%, draw 45%, Central Espanol 10%.

Will both teams score in Danubio vs Central Espanol?

Both teams scored in 40% of Danubio's last 10 matches and 50% of Central Espanol's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.