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Florgrade vs Portimonense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalRound of 64

Florgrade

 

DLWWL

Sat 17 Oct 202615:00 WAT

1 : 2

Full time Prediction won

Portimonense

 

LLLWW

Pre-match win probability

33%Florgrade33%Draw33%Portimonense

Our prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.40.

Odds1.40
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Florgrade 33%
  • Draw 33%
  • Portimonense 33%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · 3 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FlorgradePortimonense
Goals scored (avg)
0.71.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.70.5
Clean sheets
21
Failed to scoreLower is better
10
Wins
12
Biggest win streak
12

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Florgrade4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 10 OctMachico4 – 0FlorgradeL
  • 27 SeptCamacha0 – 1FlorgradeW
  • 13 SeptFlorgrade2 – 0SanjoanenseW
  • 6 SeptCamacha1 – 0FlorgradeL
  • 30 AugFlorgrade0 – 0São João VerD
Portimonense4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 10 OctAmarante1 – 2PortimonenseW
  • 19 SeptCastro Daire0 – 1PortimonenseW
  • 12 SeptPortimonense0 – 2TondelaL
  • 6 SeptUnião de Leiria1 – 0PortimonenseL
  • 29 AugPortimonense0 – 2LeixoesL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 1.7
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals82%18%
1.5 goals51%49%
2.5 goals24%76%
3.5 goals9%91%

Both teams to score

Yes30.1%
No69.9%

Double chance

1X · Florgrade or draw52.4%
12 · No draw67.5%
X2 · Portimonense or draw80%

Correct score

0 – 120.1%
0 – 018.3%
1 – 112.1%

Both teams to score

Yes30.1%
No69.9%

1X

Chance52.4%

12

Chance67.5%

X2

Chance80%

0 – 1

Chance20.1%

0 – 0

Chance18.3%

1 – 1

Chance12.1%

0 – 2

Chance11.1%

1 – 0

Chance11%

1 – 2

Chance6.6%

0 – 3

Chance4.1%

2 – 1

Chance3.6%

1 / 1

Chance10.4%

1 / X

Chance3.7%

1 / 2

Chance1.3%

X / 1

Chance8.9%

X / X

Chance25.2%

X / 2

Chance18.9%

2 / 1

Chance0.6%

2 / X

Chance3.7%

2 / 2

Chance27.4%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Florgrade · Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40

FlorgradePortimonense
Recent form57%43%
Attack50%50%
DefenceNo data to compare
Goals modelNo data to compare
Head-to-headNo data to compare
Overall54%46%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Florgrade2 scored · 2 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Portimonense3 scored · 1 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Portimonense

Total shots7
Blocked0
79% off target21% on target
0% inside box100% outside box
Total passes0
Accurate passes0 (0%)
Possession47%

Team news

Portimonense

Coach: Alex

    Florgrade vs Portimonense: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Parque Do Bucaquinho

    Florgrade host Portimonense in Portugal Taça de Portugal at Parque Do Bucaquinho.

    Form: Florgrade have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Portimonense 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Florgrade average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded; Portimonense average 0.9 and 1.0.

    The feed's model puts Florgrade at 33%, the draw at 33% and Portimonense at 33%. Its own advice: No predictions available.

    Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.40, which landed.

    Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

    Florgrade vs Portimonense FAQs

    8 questions

    When is the match between Florgrade and Portimonense?

    Florgrade v Portimonense was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

    Which league is this match in?

    Portugal Taça de Portugal, Round of 64.

    What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Portimonense?

    Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.40.

    Who is most likely to win Florgrade vs Portimonense?

    Florgrade and The draw and Portimonense are level at the top: Florgrade 33%, draw 33%, Portimonense 33%.

    Will both teams score in Florgrade vs Portimonense?

    Both teams scored in 40% of Florgrade's last 10 matches and 40% of Portimonense's last 10.

    How accurate is the prediction for this match?

    The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.