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GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Poland · EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11

GKS Katowice

5th in table · 18 pts

LWDWW

Sat 17 Oct 202616:30 WAT

0 : 1

Full time Prediction won

Pogon Szczecin

4th in table · 21 pts

DWWDW

Pre-match win probability

35%GKS Katowice35%Draw30%Pogon Szczecin

Our prediction

Home or Away (12)

Pogon Szczecin lead a fixture that should separate — 12 covers either side winning.

Odds1.28
Confidence60%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • GKS Katowice 35%
  • Draw 35%
  • Pogon Szczecin 30%

Season statistics

Ekstraklasa · 11 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Goals scored (avg)
21.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.50.6
Clean sheets
15
Failed to scoreLower is better
32
Wins
66
Biggest win streak
32

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

GKS Katowice6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 12 OctGKS Katowice2 – 1Wieczysta KrakówW
  • 9 OctRaków Częstochowa1 – 4GKS KatowiceW
  • 3 OctGKS Katowice1 – 1Baník OstravaD
  • 19 SeptGKS Katowice3 – 2Cracovia KrakowW
  • 12 SeptZaglebie Lubin2 – 1GKS KatowiceL
Pogon Szczecin5W 4D 1L in last 10
  • 11 OctPogon Szczecin2 – 0Korona KielceW
  • 26 SeptPogon Szczecin1 – 1UdineseD
  • 20 SeptPiast Gliwice1 – 2Pogon SzczecinW
  • 13 SeptPogon Szczecin2 – 0Wieczysta KrakówW
  • 7 SeptPogon Szczecin1 – 1Wisla PlockD
H2H
Head to headGKS Katowice 2W · 1D · Pogon Szczecin 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 23 MayPogon Szczecin1 – 1GKS Katowice
  • 29 NovGKS Katowice2 – 0Pogon Szczecin
  • 6 AprPogon Szczecin4 – 0GKS Katowice
  • 27 SeptGKS Katowice3 – 1Pogon Szczecin

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.8
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals94%6%
1.5 goals77%23%
2.5 goals53%47%
3.5 goals31%69%

Both teams to score

Yes56.5%
No43.5%

Double chance

1X · GKS Katowice or draw58%
12 · No draw74.9%
X2 · Pogon Szczecin or draw67.1%

Correct score

1 – 111.9%
0 – 19.1%
1 – 28.9%

Both teams to score

Yes56.5%
No43.5%

1X

Chance58%

12

Chance74.9%

X2

Chance67.1%

1 – 1

Chance11.9%

0 – 1

Chance9.1%

1 – 2

Chance8.9%

1 – 0

Chance7.9%

2 – 1

Chance7.7%

0 – 2

Chance6.8%

0 – 0

Chance6.1%

2 – 2

Chance5.8%

1 / 1

Chance19.1%

1 / X

Chance5.2%

1 / 2

Chance2.5%

X / 1

Chance11.7%

X / X

Chance14.7%

X / 2

Chance14.3%

2 / 1

Chance2.1%

2 / X

Chance5.2%

2 / 2

Chance25.1%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: GKS Katowice · Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.28

GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Recent form45%55%
Attack59%41%
Defence18%82%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head64%36%
Overall46%54%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

GKS Katowice21 scored · 17 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Pogon Szczecin16 scored · 5 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

GKS Katowice

Total shots16.6
Blocked4.2
65% off target35% on target
66% inside box34% outside box
Total passes422.8
Accurate passes344.4 (81%)
Possession50%

Pogon Szczecin

Total shots14.5
Blocked4.3
59% off target41% on target
69% inside box31% outside box
Total passes391
Accurate passes319.8 (82%)
Possession45%

Trends

8 match streak · Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last 8 matches in Ekstraklasa.

7 match streak · Ekstraklasa

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of GKS Katowice's last 7 matches in Ekstraklasa.

6 match streak · Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Ekstraklasa.

4 match streak · Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Ekstraklasa.

Team news

GKS Katowice 3-4-3

Coach: R. Górak

  1. G. Kobylak
  2. A. Czerwiński
  3. L. Klemenz
  4. Pau Resta
  5. M. Wasielewski
  6. M. Kowalczyk
  7. K. Łukasiak
  8. Borja Galán
  9. M. Wędrychowski
  10. I. Shkurin
  11. B. Nowak

Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2

Coach: Óscar García

  1. V. Cojocaru
  2. A. Riccio
  3. D. Keramitsis
  4. A. Szalai
  5. B. Mendy
  6. D. Churlinov
  7. P. Dziczek
  8. J. Biegański
  9. P. Mukairu
  10. Jordi Sánchez
  11. M. Wojciechowski

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction & preview

Poland · Ekstraklasa · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS Katowice host Pogon Szczecin in Poland Ekstraklasa at Arena Katowice. In the current table, GKS Katowice sit 5th on 18 points and Pogon Szczecin are 4th on 21.

Form: GKS Katowice have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Pogon Szczecin 3W 2D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches GKS Katowice average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; Pogon Szczecin average 1.6 and 0.8.

In their last 4 meetings GKS Katowice have won 2, Pogon Szczecin 1 and 1 were drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.

The feed's model puts GKS Katowice at 35%, the draw at 35% and Pogon Szczecin at 30%. Its own advice: Double chance : GKS Katowice or draw.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.28, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin?

GKS Katowice v Pogon Szczecin was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 15:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Poland Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 11.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

GKS Katowice are 5th in the table, while Pogon Szczecin are 4th.

What is the prediction for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.28.

Who is most likely to win GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

GKS Katowice and The draw are level at the top: GKS Katowice 35%, draw 35%, Pogon Szczecin 30%.

Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Both teams scored in 70% of GKS Katowice's last 10 matches and 60% of Pogon Szczecin's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.