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Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Norway · EliteserienRegular Season - 21

Lillestrom

6th in table · 33 pts

DWLWW

Sat 12 Sept 202615:00 WAT

2 : 0

Full time Prediction won

Valerenga

14th in table · 23 pts

LDWLD

Pre-match win probability

45%Lillestrom45%Draw10%Valerenga

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The goals line for this fixture sits over 1.5.

Odds1.12
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lillestrom 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Valerenga 10%

Also rated:Home Win Either Half @ 1.42Both Teams to Score @ 1.44Home or Away (12) @ 1.25

Season statistics

Eliteserien · 22 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LillestromValerenga
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42
Clean sheets
62
Failed to scoreLower is better
77
Wins
106
Biggest win streak
32

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Lillestrom3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 5 SeptBrann1 – 2LillestromW
  • 2 SeptAurskog Finstadbru0 – 3LillestromW
  • 30 AugLillestrom1 – 4FredrikstadL
  • 27 AugLillestrom2 – 1Egnatia RrogozhinëW
  • 20 AugEgnatia Rrogozhinë0 – 0LillestromD
Valerenga4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 6 SeptSarpsborg 08 FF2 – 2ValerengaD
  • 30 AugValerenga3 – 4MoldeL
  • 23 AugChristiania BK2 – 7ValerengaW
  • 16 AugAalesund5 – 5ValerengaD
  • 8 AugValerenga1 – 2Bodo/GlimtL
H2H
Head to headLillestrom 4W · 1D · Valerenga 1W · 2.8333333333333335 goals a game
  • 19 AprValerenga0 – 2Lillestrom
  • 22 OctLillestrom2 – 0Valerenga
  • 1 MayValerenga3 – 4Lillestrom
  • 4 SeptValerenga3 – 1Lillestrom
  • 25 MayLillestrom2 – 0Valerenga
  • 7 NovLillestrom0 – 0Valerenga

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals96%4%
1.5 goals83%17%
2.5 goals62%38%
3.5 goals40%60%

Both teams to score

Yes63.5%
No36.5%

Double chance

1X · Lillestrom or draw65.9%
12 · No draw76.7%
X2 · Valerenga or draw57.4%

Correct score

1 – 110.4%
2 – 18.8%
1 – 27.8%

Both teams to score

Yes63.5%
No36.5%

1X

Chance65.9%

12

Chance76.7%

X2

Chance57.4%

1 – 1

Chance10.4%

2 – 1

Chance8.8%

1 – 2

Chance7.8%

1 – 0

Chance6.9%

2 – 2

Chance6.6%

0 – 1

Chance6.1%

2 – 0

Chance5.9%

3 – 1

Chance5%

1 / 1

Chance26%

1 / X

Chance5.4%

1 / 2

Chance2.5%

X / 1

Chance13.7%

X / X

Chance12.5%

X / 2

Chance11.4%

2 / 1

Chance3%

2 / X

Chance5.4%

2 / 2

Chance20.2%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Lillestrom · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12

LillestromValerenga
Recent form67%33%
Attack27%73%
Defence57%43%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall58%42%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Lillestrom31 scored · 30 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Valerenga34 scored · 46 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Lillestrom

Total shots13.7
Blocked3.2
59% off target41% on target
66% inside box34% outside box
Total passes488.7
Accurate passes390.3 (80%)
Possession51%

Valerenga

Total shots16
Blocked4
55% off target45% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes491.4
Accurate passes404.6 (82%)
Possession51%

Trends

8 match streak · Eliteserien

Valerenga have conceded in each of their last 8 matches in Eliteserien.

8 match streak · Eliteserien

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Valerenga's last 8 matches in Eliteserien.

6 match streak · Eliteserien

Lillestrom have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Eliteserien.

4 match streak · Eliteserien

Valerenga have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Eliteserien.

Team news

Lillestrom 4-1-4-1

Coach: Hans Odegaard

  1. P. Dahlberg
  2. L. Ranger
  3. S. Foss
  4. R. Gabrielsen
  5. F. Elkaer
  6. Y. Ibrahimaj
  7. D. Bassi
  8. G. Nyheim
  9. E. Kitolano
  10. Felix Va
  11. F. Gulbrandsen

Valerenga 4-4-2

Coach: Johannes Moesgaard

  1. O. Hedvall
  2. H. Sjatil
  3. A. Olsen
  4. S. Jarl
  5. K. Finnsson
  6. G. Zahid
  7. M. Westergaard
  8. C. Lange
  9. L. Haren
  10. D. Gjengaar
  11. M. Grundetjern

Injuries and suspensions

  • L. Alperud (Lillestrom): Injury
  • E. B. Garnas (Lillestrom): Knee Injury
  • C. Jebara (Lillestrom): Injury
  • F. Ambina (Valerenga): Muscle Injury
  • M. Sjoeng (Valerenga): Knee Injury

Lillestrom vs Valerenga: prediction & preview

Norway · Eliteserien · Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · Åråsen, Lillestrøm

Lillestrom host Valerenga in Norway Eliteserien at Åråsen. In the current table, Lillestrom sit 6th on 33 points and Valerenga are 14th on 23.

Form: Lillestrom have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Valerenga 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 9 matches Lillestrom average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded; Valerenga average 3.0 and 2.6.

In their last 6 meetings Lillestrom have won 4, Valerenga 1 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.8 goals a game with both teams scoring in 33%.

The feed's model puts Lillestrom at 45%, the draw at 45% and Valerenga at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Lillestrom or draw and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Lillestrom vs Valerenga FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Lillestrom and Valerenga?

Lillestrom v Valerenga was played on Sat, 12 September 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Norway Eliteserien, Regular Season - 21.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Lillestrom are 6th in the table, while Valerenga are 14th.

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.12.

Who is most likely to win Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Lillestrom and The draw are level at the top: Lillestrom 45%, draw 45%, Valerenga 10%.

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?

Both teams scored in 56% of Lillestrom's last 9 matches and 80% of Valerenga's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.