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Lyon vs Nice Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

France · Ligue 1Regular Season - 7

Lyon

5th in table · 11 pts

DWWLW

Sun 18 Oct 202619:45 WAT

vs

Not started

Nice

11th in table · 8 pts

LDLWW

Pre-match win probability

45%Lyon45%Draw10%Nice

Our prediction

Home Win · Lyon

Lyon carry a 34 point edge at home.

Odds1.67
Confidence60%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Lyon 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Nice 10%

Season statistics

Ligue 1 · 6 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

LyonNice
Goals scored (avg)
1.80.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.2
Clean sheets
31
Failed to scoreLower is better
13
Wins
32
Biggest win streak
10

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Lyon5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 15 OctLyon3 – 2Crystal PalaceW
  • 9 OctLens2 – 1LyonL
  • 19 SeptLyon4 – 0RennesW
  • 16 SeptAnderlecht1 – 2LyonW
  • 12 SeptParis FC0 – 0LyonD
Nice3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 11 OctNice2 – 1StrasbourgW
  • 20 SeptNice2 – 1LilleW
  • 12 SeptAuxerre1 – 0NiceL
  • 5 SeptNice1 – 1Le MansD
  • 30 AugParis FC3 – 0NiceL
H2H
Head to headLyon 4W · 2D · Nice 2W · 2.625 goals a game
  • 15 FebLyon2 – 0Nice
  • 18 OctNice3 – 2Lyon
  • 9 MarNice0 – 2Lyon
  • 1 DecLyon4 – 1Nice
  • 16 FebLyon1 – 0Nice
  • 27 AugNice0 – 0Lyon

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.3
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals90%11%
1.5 goals66%34%
2.5 goals39%61%
3.5 goals19%81%

Both teams to score

Yes41%
No59%

Double chance

1X · Lyon or draw81.3%
12 · No draw73.8%
X2 · Nice or draw44.9%

Correct score

1 – 015.8%
1 – 111.9%
2 – 011.9%

Both teams to score

Yes41%
No59%

1X

Chance81.3%

12

Chance73.8%

X2

Chance44.9%

1 – 0

Chance15.8%

1 – 1

Chance11.9%

2 – 0

Chance11.9%

0 – 0

Chance10.5%

2 – 1

Chance8.9%

0 – 1

Chance7.9%

3 – 0

Chance5.9%

1 – 2

Chance4.4%

1 / 1

Chance33.7%

1 / X

Chance4.1%

1 / 2

Chance0.9%

X / 1

Chance19.4%

X / X

Chance17.9%

X / 2

Chance7.8%

2 / 1

Chance2.1%

2 / X

Chance4.1%

2 / 2

Chance10%

Home -0.75

Chance45%
Odds2.10

Away +0.75

Chance55%
Odds1.70

Home -0.5

Chance51%
Odds1.88

Away +0.5

Chance49%
Odds1.98

Home -0.25

Chance57%
Odds1.65

Away +0.25

Chance43%
Odds2.20

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 10.5

Chance49%
Odds1.91

Under 10.5

Chance51%
Odds1.80

Total corners over/under.

Over 3.5

Chance56%
Odds1.67

Under 3.5

Chance44%
Odds2.10

Over 4.5

Chance42%
Odds2.20

Under 4.5

Chance58%
Odds1.62

Total cards over/under.

  • Lois Openda2.0549%
  • Keito Nakamura2.6038%
  • Pavel Sulc2.7536%
  • Ernest Nuamah2.8835%
  • Remi Himbert3.0033%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Lyon · Our pick: Home Win at 1.67

LyonNice
Recent form53%47%
Attack64%36%
Defence64%36%
Goals model100%0%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall67%33%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Lyon11 scored · 4 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Nice3 scored · 9 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Lyon

Total shots13
Blocked3
40% off target60% on target
71% inside box29% outside box
Total passes453.3
Accurate passes383 (84%)
Possession50%

Nice

Total shots11.7
Blocked2.8
60% off target40% on target
66% inside box34% outside box
Total passes567.5
Accurate passes497.7 (88%)
Possession55%

Trends

5 match streak · Ligue 1

Nice have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Ligue 1.

Team news

Injuries and suspensions

  • L. Openda (Lyon): Leg Injury
  • M. Ouedraogo (Lyon): Knee Injury
  • N. Tagliafico (Lyon): Knee Injury
  • L. Abergel (Nice): Knee Injury
  • M. Bombito (Nice): Leg Injury
  • A. Mendy (Nice): Knee Injury
  • M. Sanson (Nice): Knee Injury
  • A. Abdi (Nice): Muscle Injury
  • L. Openda (Lyon): Leg Injury
  • M. Ouedraogo (Lyon): Knee Injury
  • N. Tagliafico (Lyon): Knee Injury
  • L. Abergel (Nice): Knee Injury

Lyon vs Nice: prediction & preview

France · Ligue 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon host Nice in France Ligue 1 at Groupama Stadium. In the table, Lyon sit 5th on 11 points and Nice are 11th on 8.

Form: Lyon have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Nice 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Lyon average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Nice average 0.8 and 0.9.

In their last 8 meetings Lyon have won 4, Nice 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 2.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 50%.

The feed's model puts Lyon at 45%, the draw at 45% and Nice at 10%. Its own advice: Winner : Lyon.

Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.67. Lyon carry a 34 point edge at home.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Lyon vs Nice FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Lyon and Nice?

Lyon v Nice is scheduled on Sun, 18 October 2026 at 18:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

France Ligue 1, Regular Season - 7.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Lyon are 5th in the table, while Nice are 11th.

What is the prediction for Lyon vs Nice?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.67.

Who is most likely to win Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon and The draw are level at the top: Lyon 45%, draw 45%, Nice 10%.

Will both teams score in Lyon vs Nice?

Both teams scored in 70% of Lyon's last 10 matches and 30% of Nice's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.