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Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 2

Marseille

32nd in table · 0 pts

LLLLW

Thu 15 Oct 202620:00 WAT

0 : 1

Full time Prediction won

Olympiakos Piraeus

10th in table · 6 pts

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

10%Marseille45%Draw45%Olympiakos Piraeus

Our prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The market leans to fewer than four goals at 1.44.

Odds1.44
Confidence60%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Marseille 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Olympiakos Piraeus 45%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · 2 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus
Goals scored (avg)
0.51.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.50.5
Clean sheets
01
Failed to scoreLower is better
10
Wins
02
Biggest win streak
02

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Marseille4W 0D 6L in last 10
  • 11 OctEstac Troyes0 – 2MarseilleW
  • 20 SeptMarseille1 – 2Paris Saint GermainL
  • 17 SeptBeşiktaş4 – 1MarseilleL
  • 11 SeptRennes1 – 0MarseilleL
  • 6 SeptMarseille2 – 3Paris FCL
Olympiakos Piraeus7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 11 OctOlympiakos Piraeus1 – 0PanathinaikosW
  • 20 SeptLevadiakos0 – 1Olympiakos PiraeusW
  • 16 SeptOlympiakos Piraeus2 – 1JagielloniaW
  • 12 SeptOlympiakos Piraeus0 – 1OFIL
  • 8 SeptOlympiakos Piraeus3 – 2Volos NFCW
H2H
Head to headMarseille 2W · 0D · Olympiakos Piraeus 2W · 1.5 goals a game
  • 1 DecMarseille2 – 1Olympiakos Piraeus
  • 21 OctOlympiakos Piraeus1 – 0Marseille
  • 23 NovMarseille0 – 1Olympiakos Piraeus
  • 13 SeptOlympiakos Piraeus0 – 1Marseille

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.5
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals92%8%
1.5 goals71%29%
2.5 goals46%54%
3.5 goals24%76%

Both teams to score

Yes34%
No66%

Double chance

1X · Marseille or draw26.9%
12 · No draw81.3%
X2 · Olympiakos Piraeus or draw91.8%

Correct score

0 – 116.4%
0 – 216.4%
0 – 310.9%

Both teams to score

Yes34%
No66%

1X

Chance26.9%

12

Chance81.3%

X2

Chance91.8%

0 – 1

Chance16.4%

0 – 2

Chance16.4%

0 – 3

Chance10.9%

0 – 0

Chance8.2%

1 – 1

Chance8.2%

1 – 2

Chance8.2%

0 – 4

Chance5.5%

1 – 3

Chance5.5%

1 / 1

Chance4.2%

1 / X

Chance2.8%

1 / 2

Chance2.1%

X / 1

Chance3.6%

X / X

Chance13.2%

X / 2

Chance22.5%

2 / 1

Chance0.4%

2 / X

Chance2.8%

2 / 2

Chance48.5%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44

MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus
Recent form0%100%
Attack33%67%
Defence20%80%
Goals modelNo data to compare
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall38%62%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Marseille1 scored · 5 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Olympiakos Piraeus3 scored · 1 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Marseille

Total shots11.8
Blocked3
60% off target40% on target
61% inside box39% outside box
Total passes553.8
Accurate passes487.3 (88%)
Possession54%

Olympiakos Piraeus

Total shots18.6
Blocked5.8
70% off target30% on target
71% inside box29% outside box
Total passes472.8
Accurate passes397.6 (84%)
Possession59%

Team news

Marseille 4-2-3-1

Coach: Bruno Genesio

  1. J. de Lange
  2. T. Weah
  3. B. Meité
  4. N. Aguerd
  5. Emerson
  6. H. Abdelli
  7. T. Nnadi
  8. K. Abdallah
  9. A. Gomes
  10. Igor Paixão
  11. N. Maupay

Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

  1. S. Ortega
  2. M. Saliakas
  3. P. Retsos
  4. L. Pirola
  5. S. Onyemaechi
  6. G. Puerta
  7. S. Hezze
  8. Gelson Martins
  9. Chiquinho
  10. Jota Silva
  11. R. Yaremchuk

Injuries and suspensions

  • D. Cornelius (Marseille): Hip Injury
  • P. Hojbjerg (Marseille): Muscle Injury
  • Clayton (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster
  • A. El Kaabi (Olympiakos Piraeus): Broken Leg
  • M. Mouandilmadji (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster
  • B. Popovic (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster
  • J. Roca (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster
  • L. Scipioni (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster
  • Y. Yazici (Olympiakos Piraeus): Knee Injury
  • D. Cornelius (Marseille): Hip Injury
  • P. Hojbjerg (Marseille): Muscle Injury
  • Clayton (Olympiakos Piraeus): Off the roster

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 · Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille host Olympiakos Piraeus in World UEFA Europa League at Orange Vélodrome. In the current table, Marseille sit 32nd on 0 points and Olympiakos Piraeus are 10th on 6.

Form: Marseille have taken 1W 0D 4L from their last 5, Olympiakos Piraeus 4W 0D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Marseille average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded; Olympiakos Piraeus average 1.5 and 0.7.

In their last 4 meetings Marseille have won 2, Olympiakos Piraeus 2 and 0 were drawn, averaging 1.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 25%.

The feed's model puts Marseille at 10%, the draw at 45% and Olympiakos Piraeus at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Olympiakos Piraeus and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.44, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Marseille and Olympiakos Piraeus?

Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus was played on Thu, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

World UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Marseille are 32nd in the table, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 10th.

What is the prediction for Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.44.

Who is most likely to win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

The draw and Olympiakos Piraeus are level at the top: Marseille 10%, draw 45%, Olympiakos Piraeus 45%.

Will both teams score in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Both teams scored in 60% of Marseille's last 10 matches and 40% of Olympiakos Piraeus's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.