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Moreirense vs GIL Vicente Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaRegular Season - 8

Moreirense

12th in table · 8 pts

WLLWD

Fri 9 Oct 202618:45 WAT

0 : 1

Full time Prediction won

GIL Vicente

6th in table · 14 pts

WDLLD

Pre-match win probability

10%Moreirense45%Draw45%GIL Vicente

Our prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The market expects fewer than four goals at 1.20.

Odds1.20
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Moreirense 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • GIL Vicente 45%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MoreirenseGIL Vicente
Goals scored (avg)
11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.8
Clean sheets
14
Failed to scoreLower is better
32
Wins
24
Biggest win streak
12

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Moreirense3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
  • 9 SeptMoreirense0 – 4BenficaL
  • 4 SeptFC Porto2 – 1MoreirenseL
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1MoreirenseW
GIL Vicente3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 19 SeptGIL Vicente1 – 1MaritimoD
  • 13 SeptBenfica3 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 6 SeptGIL Vicente0 – 1Academico ViseuL
  • 30 AugFamalicao0 – 0GIL VicenteD
  • 24 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Casa PiaW
H2H
Head to headMoreirense 2W · 1D · GIL Vicente 4W · 2.4285714285714284 goals a game
  • 25 JulGIL Vicente2 – 2Moreirense
  • 7 FebMoreirense1 – 2GIL Vicente
  • 29 AugGIL Vicente2 – 0Moreirense
  • 6 AprGIL Vicente0 – 1Moreirense
  • 12 JanGIL Vicente1 – 0Moreirense
  • 8 NovMoreirense3 – 2GIL Vicente

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.4
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals91%10%
1.5 goals68%32%
2.5 goals42%58%
3.5 goals21%79%

Both teams to score

Yes45.4%
No54.6%

Double chance

1X · Moreirense or draw50.1%
12 · No draw73.3%
X2 · GIL Vicente or draw76.6%

Correct score

0 – 113.8%
1 – 112.4%
0 – 210%

Both teams to score

Yes45.4%
No54.6%

1X

Chance50.1%

12

Chance73.3%

X2

Chance76.6%

0 – 1

Chance13.8%

1 – 1

Chance12.4%

0 – 2

Chance10%

0 – 0

Chance9.5%

1 – 2

Chance9%

1 – 0

Chance8.6%

2 – 1

Chance5.6%

0 – 3

Chance4.8%

1 / 1

Chance12.8%

1 / X

Chance4.6%

1 / 2

Chance2.2%

X / 1

Chance9.3%

X / X

Chance17.6%

X / 2

Chance17.6%

2 / 1

Chance1.2%

2 / X

Chance4.6%

2 / 2

Chance30.1%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20

MoreirenseGIL Vicente
Recent form58%42%
Attack60%40%
Defence38%62%
Goals model70%30%
Head-to-head29%71%
Overall49%51%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Moreirense9 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

GIL Vicente7 scored · 7 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Moreirense

Total shots7.3
Blocked0.8
56% off target44% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes320.5
Accurate passes238.8 (75%)
Possession36%

GIL Vicente

Total shots14
Blocked4
62% off target38% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes465.5
Accurate passes404 (87%)
Possession53%

Trends

4 match streak · Primeira Liga

Moreirense have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Primeira Liga.

Team news

Moreirense 4-2-3-1

Coach: Vasco Costa

  1. A. Ferreira
  2. D. Pinto
  3. G. Batista
  4. Maracas
  5. Kiko
  6. N. John
  7. Guilherme Liberato
  8. K. Bondoso
  9. M. Mendonca
  10. T. Andrade
  11. L. Vonic

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

Coach: Luis Pinto

  1. Lucao
  2. R. Esgaio
  3. M. Elimbi
  4. J. Buatu
  5. D. Moreira
  6. A. Lausen
  7. D. Prioste
  8. Murilo de Souza
  9. S. Garcia
  10. G. Pinto Martins
  11. H. Hernandez

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 9 Oct 2026 · Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães

Moreirense host GIL Vicente in Portugal Primeira Liga at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas. In the current table, Moreirense sit 12th on 8 points and GIL Vicente are 6th on 14.

Form: Moreirense have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, GIL Vicente 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Moreirense average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded; GIL Vicente average 0.9 and 1.1.

In their last 7 meetings Moreirense have won 2, GIL Vicente 4 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts Moreirense at 10%, the draw at 45% and GIL Vicente at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Moreirense vs GIL Vicente FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Moreirense and GIL Vicente?

Moreirense v GIL Vicente was played on Fri, 9 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Portugal Primeira Liga, Regular Season - 8.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Moreirense are 12th in the table, while GIL Vicente are 6th.

What is the prediction for Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.20.

Who is most likely to win Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

The draw and GIL Vicente are level at the top: Moreirense 10%, draw 45%, GIL Vicente 45%.

Will both teams score in Moreirense vs GIL Vicente?

Both teams scored in 60% of Moreirense's last 10 matches and 40% of GIL Vicente's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.