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PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieRegular Season - 8

PSV Eindhoven

3rd in table · 19 pts

WWDWL

Fri 9 Oct 202619:00 WAT

2 : 0

Full time Prediction won

Heerenveen

8th in table · 12 pts

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

45%PSV Eindhoven45%Draw10%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Home Win · PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven carry a 36 point edge at home.

Odds1.25
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • PSV Eindhoven 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Heerenveen 10%

Also rated:Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.03Both Teams to Score @ 1.36

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Goals scored (avg)
31.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.31.2
Clean sheets
14
Failed to scoreLower is better
03
Wins
63
Biggest win streak
51

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

PSV Eindhoven6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 20 SeptTwente3 – 2PSV EindhovenL
  • 13 SeptPSV Eindhoven4 – 1Sparta RotterdamW
  • 10 SeptPSV Eindhoven1 – 1Shakhtar DonetskD
  • 5 SeptAjax1 – 3PSV EindhovenW
  • 30 AugUtrecht1 – 6PSV EindhovenW
Heerenveen4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0 – 4HeerenveenW
  • 13 SeptHeerenveen0 – 0TelstarD
  • 6 SeptHeerenveen2 – 3AZ AlkmaarL
  • 30 AugWillem II2 – 2HeerenveenD
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
H2H
Head to headPSV Eindhoven 6W · 0D · Heerenveen 1W · 3.5714285714285716 goals a game
  • 21 FebPSV Eindhoven3 – 1Heerenveen
  • 4 FebPSV Eindhoven4 – 1Heerenveen
  • 6 DecHeerenveen0 – 2PSV Eindhoven
  • 8 MarPSV Eindhoven2 – 1Heerenveen
  • 14 DecHeerenveen1 – 0PSV Eindhoven
  • 25 AprHeerenveen0 – 8PSV Eindhoven

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.6
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals97%3%
1.5 goals87%13%
2.5 goals70%30%
3.5 goals49%52%

Both teams to score

Yes68.2%
No31.8%

Double chance

1X · PSV Eindhoven or draw72.5%
12 · No draw79%
X2 · Heerenveen or draw48.5%

Correct score

2 – 19%
1 – 18.6%
2 – 26.8%

Both teams to score

Yes68.2%
No31.8%

1X

Chance72.5%

12

Chance79%

X2

Chance48.5%

2 – 1

Chance9%

1 – 1

Chance8.6%

2 – 2

Chance6.8%

1 – 2

Chance6.5%

3 – 1

Chance6.3%

2 – 0

Chance6%

1 – 0

Chance5.7%

3 – 2

Chance4.7%

1 / 1

Chance32.8%

1 / X

Chance5.2%

1 / 2

Chance2.4%

X / 1

Chance15%

X / X

Chance10.5%

X / 2

Chance9%

2 / 1

Chance3.7%

2 / X

Chance5.2%

2 / 2

Chance16.1%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: PSV Eindhoven · Our pick: Home Win at 1.25

PSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Recent form71%29%
Attack71%29%
Defence50%50%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall68%32%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

PSV Eindhoven26 scored · 13 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Heerenveen17 scored · 9 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

PSV Eindhoven

Total shots19.3
Blocked4.5
47% off target53% on target
64% inside box36% outside box
Total passes554.2
Accurate passes495.7 (89%)
Possession61%

Heerenveen

Total shots17.3
Blocked5.2
49% off target51% on target
59% inside box41% outside box
Total passes505.3
Accurate passes433.8 (86%)
Possession55%

Trends

7 match streak · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven have scored in each of their last 7 matches in Eredivisie.

7 match streak · Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Eredivisie.

7 match streak · Eredivisie

Both teams have scored in each of PSV Eindhoven's last 7 matches in Eredivisie.

7 match streak · Eredivisie

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of PSV Eindhoven's last 7 matches in Eredivisie.

Team news

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

Coach: Peter Bosz

  1. M. Kovar
  2. S. Dest
  3. R. Flamingo
  4. A. Obispo
  5. Mauro Junior
  6. K. Sano
  7. N. Fernandez
  8. E. Bajraktarevic
  9. G. Til
  10. R. van Bommel
  11. S. Mijnans

Heerenveen 4-2-3-1

Coach: Robin Veldman

  1. B. Klaverboer
  2. O. Braude
  3. S. Kersten
  4. M. Willemsen
  5. V. Zagaritis
  6. M. Linday
  7. N. Courtens
  8. J. Trenskow
  9. L. Smans
  10. M. Rivera
  11. D. Vente

Injuries and suspensions

  • S. Lammers (PSV Eindhoven): Lacking Match Fitness
  • A. Nagalo (PSV Eindhoven): Injury
  • S. Ouaissa (PSV Eindhoven): Muscle Injury
  • R. Pepi (PSV Eindhoven): Injury
  • A. Plea (PSV Eindhoven): Surgery
  • J. Schouten (PSV Eindhoven): Knee Injury
  • K. Sildillia (PSV Eindhoven): Surgery
  • P. Wanner (PSV Eindhoven): Foot Injury
  • D. Proper (Heerenveen): Hamstring Injury

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Fri, 9 Oct 2026 · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven host Heerenveen in Netherlands Eredivisie at Philips Stadion. In the current table, PSV Eindhoven sit 3rd on 19 points and Heerenveen are 8th on 12.

Form: PSV Eindhoven have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, Heerenveen 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches PSV Eindhoven average 2.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Heerenveen average 2.1 and 1.7.

In their last 7 meetings PSV Eindhoven have won 6, Heerenveen 1 and 0 were drawn, averaging 3.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts PSV Eindhoven at 45%, the draw at 45% and Heerenveen at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Winner : PSV Eindhoven and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.25, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen?

PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen was played on Fri, 9 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Netherlands Eredivisie, Regular Season - 8.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table, while Heerenveen are 8th.

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

PSV Eindhoven and The draw are level at the top: PSV Eindhoven 45%, draw 45%, Heerenveen 10%.

Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?

Both teams scored in 80% of PSV Eindhoven's last 10 matches and 60% of Heerenveen's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.