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Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan · J1 LeagueRegular Season - 10

Shimizu S-pulse

10th in table · 14 pts

WWWWL

Sat 17 Oct 202605:00 WAT

2 : 2

Full time Prediction won

Gamba Osaka

18th in table · 7 pts

LWLLW

Pre-match win probability

45%Shimizu S-pulse45%Draw10%Gamba Osaka

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Odds1.25
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Shimizu S-pulse 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Gamba Osaka 10%

Season statistics

J1 League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
Goals scored (avg)
11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.8
Clean sheets
21
Failed to scoreLower is better
35
Wins
41
Biggest win streak
31

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Shimizu S-pulse6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 14 OctYokohama F. Marinos2 – 1Shimizu S-pulseL
  • 11 OctMito Hollyhock1 – 2Shimizu S-pulseW
  • 7 OctShimizu S-pulse2 – 1V-varen NagasakiW
  • 29 SeptKanazawa0 – 2Shimizu S-pulseW
  • 19 SeptShimizu S-pulse2 – 1JEF United ChibaW
Gamba Osaka3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 13 OctNewcastle Jets1 – 3Gamba OsakaW
  • 9 OctKashima2 – 0Gamba OsakaL
  • 3 OctKashiwa Reysol5 – 4Gamba OsakaL
  • 23 SeptGamba Osaka5 – 0Tokushima VortisW
  • 20 SeptGamba Osaka0 – 1Vissel KobeL
H2H
Head to headShimizu S-pulse 1W · 3D · Gamba Osaka 3W · 1.8571428571428572 goals a game
  • 24 MayShimizu S-pulse1 – 2Gamba Osaka
  • 28 FebGamba Osaka2 – 2Shimizu S-pulse
  • 15 JunShimizu S-pulse0 – 0Gamba Osaka
  • 8 MarGamba Osaka1 – 0Shimizu S-pulse
  • 14 AugGamba Osaka0 – 2Shimizu S-pulse
  • 10 AprShimizu S-pulse1 – 1Gamba Osaka

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.5
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals91%9%
1.5 goals70%30%
2.5 goals44%56%
3.5 goals23%77%

Both teams to score

Yes49%
No51%

Double chance

1X · Shimizu S-pulse or draw71.8%
12 · No draw73.2%
X2 · Gamba Osaka or draw55%

Correct score

1 – 112.7%
1 – 012.1%
0 – 19.1%

Both teams to score

Yes49%
No51%

1X

Chance71.8%

12

Chance73.2%

X2

Chance55%

1 – 1

Chance12.7%

1 – 0

Chance12.1%

0 – 1

Chance9.1%

2 – 1

Chance8.9%

0 – 0

Chance8.6%

2 – 0

Chance8.5%

1 – 2

Chance6.7%

0 – 2

Chance4.8%

1 / 1

Chance26.8%

1 / X

Chance4.9%

1 / 2

Chance1.6%

X / 1

Chance16%

X / X

Chance17.1%

X / 2

Chance10.8%

2 / 1

Chance2.2%

2 / X

Chance4.9%

2 / 2

Chance15.8%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Shimizu S-pulse · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
Recent form91%9%
Attack78%22%
Defence60%40%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head29%71%
Overall62%38%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Shimizu S-pulse11 scored · 10 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Gamba Osaka10 scored · 18 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Shimizu S-pulse

Total shots11.3
Blocked1
65% off target35% on target
62% inside box38% outside box
Total passes410.3
Accurate passes313.7 (76%)
Possession49%

Gamba Osaka

Total shots16.3
Blocked3.3
54% off target46% on target
68% inside box32% outside box
Total passes464.5
Accurate passes376.5 (81%)
Possession54%

Trends

5 match streak · J1 League

Shimizu S-pulse have scored in each of their last 5 matches in J1 League.

5 match streak · J1 League

Gamba Osaka have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in J1 League.

Team news

Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3

Coach: Takayuki Yoshida

  1. Togo Umeda
  2. Hidehiro Sugai
  3. Sodai Hasukawa
  4. Yuki Honda
  5. Mateus Brunetti
  6. Kei Koizumi
  7. Masaki Yumiba
  8. Kai Matsuzaki
  9. Ryo Germain
  10. Oh Se-Hun
  11. Kenta Inoue

Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1

Coach: Tomokazu Myojin

  1. Jun Ichimori
  2. Takeru Kishimoto
  3. Shinnosuke Nakatani
  4. Shota Fukuoka
  5. Shinya Nakano
  6. Shuto Abe
  7. Rin Mito
  8. Ryoya Yamashita
  9. Issam Jebali
  10. Welton
  11. Yusei Toshida

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: prediction & preview

Japan · J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse host Gamba Osaka in Japan J1 League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. In the current table, Shimizu S-pulse sit 10th on 14 points and Gamba Osaka are 18th on 7.

Form: Shimizu S-pulse have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Gamba Osaka 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Shimizu S-pulse average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; Gamba Osaka average 1.8 and 1.6.

In their last 7 meetings Shimizu S-pulse have won 1, Gamba Osaka 3 and 3 were drawn, averaging 1.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts Shimizu S-pulse at 45%, the draw at 45% and Gamba Osaka at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Shimizu S-pulse or draw.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 04:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Japan J1 League, Regular Season - 10.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Shimizu S-pulse are 10th in the table, while Gamba Osaka are 18th.

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Shimizu S-pulse and The draw are level at the top: Shimizu S-pulse 45%, draw 45%, Gamba Osaka 10%.

Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?

Both teams scored in 70% of Shimizu S-pulse's last 10 matches and 40% of Gamba Osaka's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.