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Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipGroup Stage

Sporting JAX

13th in table · 14 pts

WLLLL

Thu 15 Oct 202600:00 WAT

0 : 1

Full timePrediction lost

Birmingham Legion

11th in table · 27 pts

DDLWL

Pre-match win probability

10%Sporting JAX45%Draw45%Birmingham Legion

Our prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

The market prices three or more goals at 1.40.

Odds1.40
Confidence80%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Sporting JAX 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Birmingham Legion 45%

Season statistics

USL Championship · 28 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Sporting JAXBirmingham Legion
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.61.5
Clean sheets
07
Failed to scoreLower is better
117
Wins
35
Biggest win streak
11

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Sporting JAX2W 0D 8L in last 10
  • 30 SeptMiami FC4 – 1Sporting JAXL
  • 25 SeptSporting JAX1 – 4Loudoun UnitedL
  • 16 SeptHartford Athletic2 – 0Sporting JAXL
  • 12 SeptSporting JAX0 – 3Rhode IslandL
  • 5 SeptSporting JAX3 – 2LexingtonW
Birmingham Legion2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 3 OctDetroit City1 – 0Birmingham LegionL
  • 23 SeptBirmingham Legion4 – 0BrooklynW
  • 19 SeptTampa Bay Rowdies4 – 0Birmingham LegionL
  • 17 SeptBirmingham Legion4 – 4New Mexico UnitedD
  • 12 SeptBirmingham Legion2 – 2Charleston BatteryD
H2H
Head to headSporting JAX 1W · 0D · Birmingham Legion 0W · 5 goals a game
  • 23 AugBirmingham Legion2 – 3Sporting JAX

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.3
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals96%4%
1.5 goals84%17%
2.5 goals63%37%
3.5 goals41%59%

Both teams to score

Yes62.4%
No37.6%

Double chance

1X · Sporting JAX or draw47.4%
12 · No draw78%
X2 · Birmingham Legion or draw74.6%

Correct score

1 – 19.8%
1 – 29.6%
0 – 17.6%

Both teams to score

Yes62.4%
No37.6%

1X

Chance47.4%

12

Chance78%

X2

Chance74.6%

1 – 1

Chance9.8%

1 – 2

Chance9.6%

0 – 1

Chance7.6%

0 – 2

Chance7.4%

2 – 1

Chance6.4%

1 – 3

Chance6.2%

2 – 2

Chance6.2%

1 – 0

Chance5%

1 / 1

Chance14.6%

1 / X

Chance5.1%

1 / 2

Chance3.4%

X / 1

Chance8.9%

X / X

Chance11.8%

X / 2

Chance16%

2 / 1

Chance2%

2 / X

Chance5.1%

2 / 2

Chance33.2%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40

Sporting JAXBirmingham Legion
Recent form38%62%
Attack33%67%
Defence42%58%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall43%57%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Sporting JAX32 scored · 74 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Birmingham Legion37 scored · 43 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

14 match streak · USL Championship

Sporting JAX have conceded in each of their last 14 matches in USL Championship.

Team news

Sporting JAX 4-2-3-1

Coach: L. Fox

  1. J. McGuire
  2. E. Rito
  3. A. Gomez
  4. V. Alvarado
  5. H. Neville
  6. J. Rossiter
  7. T. Roberts
  8. Wan Kuzain
  9. Jean Mota
  10. A. Al Qaq
  11. A. Luckhurst

Birmingham Legion 4-2-3-1

Coach: Jay Heaps

  1. J. Koleilat
  2. N. Brown
  3. B. Washington
  4. A. Paterson
  5. D. McCartney
  6. S. McIllhatton
  7. S. Antwi
  8. P. Vassell
  9. S. Shashoua
  10. Gevork Diarbian
  11. R. Damus

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Thu, 15 Oct 2026 · Hodges Stadium

Sporting JAX host Birmingham Legion in USA USL Championship at Hodges Stadium. In the current table, Sporting JAX sit 13th on 14 points and Birmingham Legion are 11th on 27.

Form: Sporting JAX have taken 1W 0D 4L from their last 5, Birmingham Legion 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Sporting JAX average 0.9 goals scored and 2.9 conceded; Birmingham Legion average 1.9 and 2.2.

In their last 1 meetings Sporting JAX have won 1, Birmingham Legion 0 and 0 were drawn, averaging 5.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 100%.

The feed's model puts Sporting JAX at 10%, the draw at 45% and Birmingham Legion at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Birmingham Legion and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Sporting JAX and Birmingham Legion?

Sporting JAX v Birmingham Legion was played on Wed, 14 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

USA USL Championship, Group Stage.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Sporting JAX are 13th in the table, while Birmingham Legion are 11th.

What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?

Our prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 1.40.

Who is most likely to win Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?

The draw and Birmingham Legion are level at the top: Sporting JAX 10%, draw 45%, Birmingham Legion 45%.

Will both teams score in Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?

Both teams scored in 50% of Sporting JAX's last 10 matches and 60% of Birmingham Legion's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.