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VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · Regionalliga - NordNorth - 14

VfB Lübeck

9th in table · 18 pts

DWWDW

Sat 17 Oct 202613:00 WAT

4 : 1

Full time Prediction won

St. Pauli II

17th in table · 10 pts

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

45%VfB Lübeck45%Draw10%St. Pauli II

Our prediction

Both Teams to Score

The market prices both teams to score at 1.40.

Odds1.40
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • VfB Lübeck 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • St. Pauli II 10%

Season statistics

Regionalliga - Nord · 14 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VfB LübeckSt. Pauli II
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.62.2
Clean sheets
12
Failed to scoreLower is better
34
Wins
43
Biggest win streak
22

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

VfB Lübeck3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 12 OctSSV Jeddeloh1 – 2VfB LübeckW
  • 2 OctVfB Lübeck0 – 0Eimsbütteler TVD
  • 25 SeptVfB Lübeck3 – 2TodesfeldeW
  • 19 SeptVfB Lübeck2 – 1Bremer SVW
  • 16 SeptHannover 96 II2 – 2VfB LübeckD
St. Pauli II3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 11 OctSt. Pauli II3 – 4HSC HannoverL
  • 26 SeptSt. Pauli II0 – 2Kickers EmdenL
  • 19 SeptSV Drochtersen/Assel1 – 0St. Pauli IIL
  • 16 SeptHamburger SV II0 – 3St. Pauli IIW
  • 13 SeptSt. Pauli II5 – 0Eintracht NorderstedtW
H2H
Head to headVfB Lübeck 2W · 3D · St. Pauli II 2W · 2.2857142857142856 goals a game
  • 29 NovSt. Pauli II1 – 1VfB Lübeck
  • 28 OctVfB Lübeck1 – 1St. Pauli II
  • 14 DecVfB Lübeck2 – 0St. Pauli II
  • 29 OctSt. Pauli II1 – 3VfB Lübeck
  • 19 MarSt. Pauli II2 – 1VfB Lubeck
  • 18 SeptVfB Lubeck1 – 1St. Pauli II

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.5
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals97%3%
1.5 goals86%14%
2.5 goals68%32%
3.5 goals46%54%

Both teams to score

Yes68.2%
No31.8%

Double chance

1X · VfB Lübeck or draw63.2%
12 · No draw77.7%
X2 · St. Pauli II or draw59.1%

Correct score

1 – 19.2%
2 – 18.3%
1 – 27.9%

Both teams to score

Yes68.2%
No31.8%

1X

Chance63.2%

12

Chance77.7%

X2

Chance59.1%

1 – 1

Chance9.2%

2 – 1

Chance8.3%

1 – 2

Chance7.9%

2 – 2

Chance7.1%

1 – 0

Chance5.4%

0 – 1

Chance5.1%

3 – 1

Chance5%

2 – 0

Chance4.9%

1 / 1

Chance25%

1 / X

Chance5.5%

1 / 2

Chance2.9%

X / 1

Chance12.7%

X / X

Chance11.3%

X / 2

Chance11.7%

2 / 1

Chance3.2%

2 / X

Chance5.5%

2 / 2

Chance22.2%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: VfB Lübeck · Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 1.40

VfB LübeckSt. Pauli II
Recent form65%35%
Attack45%55%
Defence54%46%
Goals model53%47%
Head-to-head62%38%
Overall57%43%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

VfB Lübeck20 scored · 23 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

St. Pauli II23 scored · 30 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

7 match streak · Regionalliga - Nord

VfB Lübeck are unbeaten in their last 7 matches in Regionalliga - Nord.

VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: prediction & preview

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

VfB Lübeck host St. Pauli II in Germany Regionalliga - Nord. In the current table, VfB Lübeck sit 9th on 18 points and St. Pauli II are 17th on 10.

Form: VfB Lübeck have taken 3W 2D 0L from their last 5, St. Pauli II 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches VfB Lübeck average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded; St. Pauli II average 1.9 and 1.8.

In their last 7 meetings VfB Lübeck have won 2, St. Pauli II 2 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 71%.

The feed's model puts VfB Lübeck at 45%, the draw at 45% and St. Pauli II at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : VfB Lübeck or draw.

Our published call was Both Teams to Score at 1.40, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between VfB Lübeck and St. Pauli II?

VfB Lübeck v St. Pauli II was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 12:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Germany Regionalliga - Nord, North - 14.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

VfB Lübeck are 9th in the table, while St. Pauli II are 17th.

What is the prediction for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Our prediction is Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.40.

Who is most likely to win VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

VfB Lübeck and The draw are level at the top: VfB Lübeck 45%, draw 45%, St. Pauli II 10%.

Will both teams score in VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Both teams scored in 80% of VfB Lübeck's last 10 matches and 50% of St. Pauli II's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.