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Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ARegular Season - 29

Vitoria

13th in table · 36 pts

LLWDL

Thu 8 Oct 202600:00 WAT

4 : 0

Full time Prediction won

Chapecoense-sc

20th in table · 18 pts

LWLDD

Pre-match win probability

35%Vitoria35%Draw30%Chapecoense-sc

Our prediction

Home or Away (12)

A decisive result is priced at 1.25.

Odds1.25
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Vitoria 35%
  • Draw 35%
  • Chapecoense-sc 30%

Season statistics

Serie A · 30 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

VitoriaChapecoense-sc
Goals scored (avg)
1.11
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.52.1
Clean sheets
112
Failed to scoreLower is better
910
Wins
103
Biggest win streak
11

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Vitoria3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 20 SeptVitoria1 – 3CruzeiroL
  • 13 SeptMirassol2 – 2VitoriaD
  • 7 SeptVitoria1 – 0GremioW
  • 3 SeptVitoria0 – 2Vasco DA GamaL
  • 29 AugAtletico-MG2 – 1VitoriaL
Chapecoense-sc2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 26 SeptAtletico Nacional1 – 1Chapecoense-scD
  • 19 SeptAtletico-MG1 – 1Chapecoense-scD
  • 12 SeptChapecoense-sc1 – 2InternacionalL
  • 6 SeptCorinthians1 – 2Chapecoense-scW
  • 30 AugGremio3 – 1Chapecoense-scL
H2H
Head to headVitoria 3W · 3D · Chapecoense-sc 1W · 1.5714285714285714 goals a game
  • 5 AprChapecoense-sc1 – 1Vitoria
  • 25 NovChapecoense-sc3 – 1Vitoria
  • 24 JulVitoria1 – 0Chapecoense-sc
  • 17 JanVitoria0 – 0Chapecoense-sc
  • 17 OctChapecoense-sc1 – 1Vitoria
  • 14 OctChapecoense-sc0 – 1Vitoria

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.9
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals94%6%
1.5 goals78%22%
2.5 goals54%46%
3.5 goals32%68%

Both teams to score

Yes56.9%
No43.1%

Double chance

1X · Vitoria or draw70.1%
12 · No draw75.4%
X2 · Chapecoense-sc or draw54.5%

Correct score

1 – 111.6%
2 – 19.3%
1 – 09.3%

Both teams to score

Yes56.9%
No43.1%

1X

Chance70.1%

12

Chance75.4%

X2

Chance54.5%

1 – 1

Chance11.6%

2 – 1

Chance9.3%

1 – 0

Chance9.3%

2 – 0

Chance7.4%

0 – 1

Chance7.2%

1 – 2

Chance7.2%

2 – 2

Chance5.8%

0 – 0

Chance5.8%

1 / 1

Chance27.7%

1 / X

Chance5.2%

1 / 2

Chance2%

X / 1

Chance15.2%

X / X

Chance14.3%

X / 2

Chance10.7%

2 / 1

Chance2.7%

2 / X

Chance5.2%

2 / 2

Chance17.2%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Vitoria · Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.25

VitoriaChapecoense-sc
Recent form36%64%
Attack45%55%
Defence44%56%
Goals model71%29%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall48%52%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Vitoria35 scored · 42 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Chapecoense-sc31 scored · 61 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Vitoria

Total shots14.5
Blocked4.2
52% off target48% on target
48% inside box52% outside box
Total passes399.7
Accurate passes326.7 (82%)
Possession46%

Chapecoense-sc

Total shots14.4
Blocked3.8
60% off target40% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes396.6
Accurate passes332.2 (84%)
Possession41%

Trends

8 match streak · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Serie A.

4 match streak · Serie A

Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Serie A.

4 match streak · Serie A

Chapecoense-sc have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Serie A.

4 match streak · Serie A

Both teams have scored in each of Chapecoense-sc's last 4 matches in Serie A.

Team news

Vitoria 4-2-3-1

  1. Lucas Arcanjo
  2. Mateusinho
  3. Cacá
  4. Luan Cândido
  5. Jamerson
  6. Caique Gonçalves
  7. Emmanuel Martínez
  8. Erick
  9. Matheuzinho
  10. Diego Tarzia
  11. Renê Sousa

Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1

  1. Anderson
  2. Bruno Tubarão
  3. Kauan
  4. Eduardo Doma
  5. Bruno Pacheco
  6. Camilo
  7. Yago Felipe
  8. Marcinho
  9. Giovanni Augusto
  10. Maurício Garcez
  11. Tulio Eduardo

Injuries and suspensions

  • Anderson (Vitoria): Knee Injury
  • Baralhas (Vitoria): Broken Leg
  • Camutanga (Vitoria): Broken Leg
  • Dudu (Vitoria): Back Injury
  • Edu (Vitoria): Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Fabiano (Vitoria): Knee Injury
  • Nathan Mendes (Vitoria): Knee Injury
  • Ramon (Vitoria): Leg Injury
  • Riccieli (Vitoria): Calf Injury
  • Heitor (Chapecoense-sc): Hamstring Injury
  • Max Alves (Chapecoense-sc): Back Injury
  • Rafael Carvalheira (Chapecoense-sc): Knee Injury

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · Estadio Manoel Barradas, El Salvador

Vitoria host Chapecoense-sc in Brazil Serie A at Estadio Manoel Barradas. In the current table, Vitoria sit 13th on 36 points and Chapecoense-sc are 20th on 18.

Form: Vitoria have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, Chapecoense-sc 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Vitoria average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded; Chapecoense-sc average 1.1 and 1.5.

In their last 7 meetings Vitoria have won 3, Chapecoense-sc 1 and 3 were drawn, averaging 1.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

The feed's model puts Vitoria at 35%, the draw at 35% and Chapecoense-sc at 30%. Its own advice: Double chance : Vitoria or draw.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.25, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Vitoria and Chapecoense-sc?

Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc was played on Wed, 7 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 29.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Vitoria are 13th in the table, while Chapecoense-sc are 20th.

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Vitoria and The draw are level at the top: Vitoria 35%, draw 35%, Chapecoense-sc 30%.

Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?

Both teams scored in 30% of Vitoria's last 10 matches and 70% of Chapecoense-sc's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.