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Willem II vs Heerenveen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieRegular Season - 4

Willem II

18th in table · 2 pts

DWWLL

Sun 30 Aug 202613:30 WAT

2 : 2

Full time Prediction won

Heerenveen

8th in table · 12 pts

DWWDL

Pre-match win probability

10%Willem II45%Draw45%Heerenveen

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The goals line for this fixture sits over 1.5.

Odds1.12
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Willem II 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Heerenveen 45%

Also rated:Away Win @ 1.76Both Teams to Score @ 1.42

Season statistics

Eredivisie · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Willem IIHeerenveen
Goals scored (avg)
11.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2.91.2
Clean sheets
04
Failed to scoreLower is better
23
Wins
03
Biggest win streak
01

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Willem II3W 1D 4L in last 8
  • 15 AugWillem II1 – 4NEC NijmegenL
  • 8 AugGO Ahead Eagles4 – 1Willem IIL
  • 1 AugWillem II2 – 1OFIW
  • 25 JulWillem II1 – 0KV MechelenW
  • 11 JulWillem II2 – 2FC EindhovenD
Heerenveen4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 22 AugHeerenveen0 – 2PEC ZwolleL
  • 16 AugAjax2 – 2HeerenveenD
  • 9 AugHeerenveen1 – 0TwenteW
  • 1 AugHeerenveen3 – 2Volos NFCW
  • 25 JulHeerenveen4 – 4OH LeuvenD
H2H
Head to headWillem II 1W · 1D · Heerenveen 4W · 2.6666666666666665 goals a game
  • 4 AprHeerenveen3 – 1Willem II
  • 8 DecWillem II1 – 2Heerenveen
  • 5 MarWillem II0 – 0Heerenveen
  • 21 NovHeerenveen2 – 1Willem II
  • 13 MarWillem II3 – 1Heerenveen
  • 12 SeptHeerenveen2 – 0Willem II

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.4
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals97%3%
1.5 goals85%15%
2.5 goals66%34%
3.5 goals44%56%

Both teams to score

Yes60%
No40%

Double chance

1X · Willem II or draw35.7%
12 · No draw81.1%
X2 · Heerenveen or draw83.1%

Correct score

1 – 29.7%
0 – 28.8%
1 – 18.4%

Both teams to score

Yes60%
No40%

1X

Chance35.7%

12

Chance81.1%

X2

Chance83.1%

1 – 2

Chance9.7%

0 – 2

Chance8.8%

1 – 1

Chance8.4%

0 – 1

Chance7.7%

1 – 3

Chance7.4%

0 – 3

Chance6.8%

2 – 2

Chance5.3%

2 – 1

Chance4.6%

1 / 1

Chance9.4%

1 / X

Chance4.4%

1 / 2

Chance3.7%

X / 1

Chance6.1%

X / X

Chance10.2%

X / 2

Chance18%

2 / 1

Chance1.4%

2 / X

Chance4.4%

2 / 2

Chance42.6%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12

Willem IIHeerenveen
Recent form0%100%
Attack40%60%
Defence33%67%
Goals model24%76%
Head-to-head29%71%
Overall34%66%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Willem II9 scored · 26 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Heerenveen17 scored · 9 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Willem II

Total shots11
Blocked4.5
77% off target23% on target
68% inside box32% outside box
Total passes268.5
Accurate passes185 (69%)
Possession32%

Heerenveen

Total shots13
Blocked3.3
41% off target59% on target
54% inside box46% outside box
Total passes517
Accurate passes440 (85%)
Possession52%

Team news

Willem II 4-2-3-1

Coach: John Stegeman

  1. K. de Leeuw
  2. H. ter Avest
  3. F. Stam
  4. J. Hoogma
  5. N. Tjoe a On
  6. K. Boogaard
  7. C. Twigt
  8. E. Gurbuz
  9. U. van Aalst
  10. J. Slory
  11. D. Haen

Heerenveen 4-4-2

Coach: Robin Veldman

  1. B. Klaverboer
  2. O. Braude
  3. S. Kersten
  4. M. Willemsen
  5. V. Zagaritis
  6. J. Trenskow
  7. N. Courtens
  8. D. Proper
  9. M. Rivera
  10. D. Vente
  11. R. Meerveld

Injuries and suspensions

  • L. Abildgaard (Willem II): Inactive
  • A. Culum (Willem II): Foot Injury
  • T. Didillon Hodl (Willem II): Hamstring Injury
  • A. Lachkar (Willem II): Groin Injury
  • J. Schuurman (Willem II): Knock
  • T. Vilhena (Willem II): Inactive
  • A. Zarrouk (Willem II): Surgery
  • M. Egbring (Heerenveen): Injury
  • M. Linday (Heerenveen): Inactive
  • L. Abildgaard (Willem II): Inactive
  • A. Culum (Willem II): Foot Injury
  • T. Didillon Hodl (Willem II): Hamstring Injury

Willem II vs Heerenveen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Willem II host Heerenveen in Netherlands Eredivisie at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the current table, Willem II sit 18th on 2 points and Heerenveen are 8th on 12.

Form: Willem II have taken 2W 1D 2L from their last 5, Heerenveen 2W 2D 1L from theirs. Over their last 8 matches Willem II average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded; Heerenveen average 2.4 and 1.9.

In their last 6 meetings Willem II have won 1, Heerenveen 4 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 67%.

The feed's model puts Willem II at 10%, the draw at 45% and Heerenveen at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Heerenveen and +1.5 goals.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Willem II vs Heerenveen FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Willem II and Heerenveen?

Willem II v Heerenveen was played on Sun, 30 August 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Netherlands Eredivisie, Regular Season - 4.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Willem II are 18th in the table, while Heerenveen are 8th.

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.12.

Who is most likely to win Willem II vs Heerenveen?

The draw and Heerenveen are level at the top: Willem II 10%, draw 45%, Heerenveen 45%.

Will both teams score in Willem II vs Heerenveen?

Both teams scored in 88% of Willem II's last 8 matches and 67% of Heerenveen's last 9.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.