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Akhmat vs FC Orenburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Russia · Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12

Akhmat

13th in table · 11 pts

WLDLL

Fri 23 Oct 202617:30 WAT

0 : 1

Full timePrediction lost

FC Orenburg

6th in table · 16 pts

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

35%Akhmat35%Draw30%FC Orenburg

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Odds1.25
Confidence95%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Akhmat 35%
  • Draw 35%
  • FC Orenburg 30%

Season statistics

Premier League · 12 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AkhmatFC Orenburg
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.41
Clean sheets
24
Failed to scoreLower is better
54
Wins
23
Biggest win streak
11

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Akhmat3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 18 OctZenit3 – 2AkhmatL
  • 14 OctAkhmat1 – 2DynamoL
  • 11 OctAkhmat0 – 0BaltikaD
  • 17 SeptAkron2 – 0AkhmatL
  • 13 SeptAkhmat3 – 2Dinamo MakhachkalaW
FC Orenburg3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 19 OctRodina Moskva2 – 2FC OrenburgD
  • 15 OctRubin1 – 4FC OrenburgW
  • 10 OctFC Orenburg4 – 0Dinamo MakhachkalaW
  • 3 OctFC Orenburg3 – 2TekstilshchikW
  • 3 OctLokomotiv2 – 0FC OrenburgL
H2H
Head to headAkhmat 2W · 2D · FC Orenburg 3W · 1.5714285714285714 goals a game
  • 5 DecAkhmat1 – 0FC Orenburg
  • 30 SeptAkhmat0 – 1FC Orenburg
  • 22 AugFC Orenburg2 – 2Akhmat
  • 13 AugFC Orenburg2 – 1Akhmat
  • 8 DecAkhmat1 – 0FC Orenburg
  • 28 JulFC Orenburg0 – 0Akhmat

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.4
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals91%9%
1.5 goals70%30%
2.5 goals44%56%
3.5 goals23%77%

Both teams to score

Yes49.7%
No50.3%

Double chance

1X · Akhmat or draw60%
12 · No draw72.8%
X2 · FC Orenburg or draw67.2%

Correct score

1 – 112.9%
0 – 111.2%
1 – 09.9%

Both teams to score

Yes49.7%
No50.3%

1X

Chance60%

12

Chance72.8%

X2

Chance67.2%

1 – 1

Chance12.9%

0 – 1

Chance11.2%

1 – 0

Chance9.9%

0 – 0

Chance8.6%

1 – 2

Chance8.4%

2 – 1

Chance7.4%

0 – 2

Chance7.3%

2 – 0

Chance5.7%

1 / 1

Chance18.7%

1 / X

Chance5%

1 / 2

Chance2.1%

X / 1

Chance12.3%

X / X

Chance17.2%

X / 2

Chance14.5%

2 / 1

Chance1.8%

2 / X

Chance5%

2 / 2

Chance23.4%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Akhmat · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

AkhmatFC Orenburg
Recent form45%55%
Attack43%57%
Defence38%62%
Goals model62%38%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall48%52%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Akhmat15 scored · 17 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

FC Orenburg15 scored · 11 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Akhmat

Total shots12.7
Blocked3.8
57% off target43% on target
63% inside box37% outside box
Total passes370.4
Accurate passes289.8 (78%)
Possession47%

FC Orenburg

Total shots13.8
Blocked2.3
52% off target48% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes285
Accurate passes186.7 (65%)
Possession37%

Team news

Akhmat 4-2-3-1

Coach: S. Cherchesov

  1. V. Ulyanov
  2. A. Adamov
  3. K. Sidibé
  4. K. Cake
  5. M. Bogosavac
  6. T. Ibishev
  7. Ismael Silva Lima
  8. L. Sadulaev
  9. Egas Cacintura
  10. K. Shchetinin
  11. G. Melkadze

FC Orenburg 4-2-3-1

Coach: I. Akhmetzyanov

  1. B. Ovsyannikov
  2. M. Sivis
  3. J. Palacios
  4. A. Tataev
  5. E. Tsenov
  6. R. Kul
  7. E. Bolotov
  8. J. Thompson
  9. D. Puebla
  10. D. Rybchinskiy
  11. G. Guzina

Injuries and suspensions

  • G. Kenzhebek (Akhmat): Inactive
  • O. Ndong (Akhmat): Inactive
  • S. Pryakhin (Akhmat): Inactive
  • J. Romao (Akhmat): Injury
  • G. Shelia (Akhmat): Inactive
  • Alexandre Jesus (FC Orenburg): Inactive
  • R. Mejia (FC Orenburg): Inactive
  • M. Rudakov (FC Orenburg): Arm Injury
  • M. Savelyev (FC Orenburg): Inactive
  • D. Vasiljev (FC Orenburg): Inactive
  • G. Kenzhebek (Akhmat): Inactive
  • O. Ndong (Akhmat): Inactive

Akhmat vs FC Orenburg: prediction & preview

Russia · Premier League · Fri, 23 Oct 2026 · Akhmat-Arena, Grozny

Akhmat host FC Orenburg in Russia Premier League at Akhmat-Arena. In the current table, Akhmat sit 13th on 11 points and FC Orenburg are 6th on 16.

Form: Akhmat have taken 1W 1D 3L from their last 5, FC Orenburg 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Akhmat average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded; FC Orenburg average 1.7 and 1.2.

In their last 7 meetings Akhmat have won 2, FC Orenburg 3 and 2 were drawn, averaging 1.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 29%.

The feed's model puts Akhmat at 35%, the draw at 35% and FC Orenburg at 30%. Its own advice: Double chance : Akhmat or draw.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Akhmat vs FC Orenburg FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Akhmat and FC Orenburg?

Akhmat v FC Orenburg was played on Fri, 23 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Russia Premier League, Regular Season - 12.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Akhmat are 13th in the table, while FC Orenburg are 6th.

What is the prediction for Akhmat vs FC Orenburg?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Akhmat vs FC Orenburg?

Akhmat and The draw are level at the top: Akhmat 35%, draw 35%, FC Orenburg 30%.

Will both teams score in Akhmat vs FC Orenburg?

Both teams scored in 70% of Akhmat's last 10 matches and 60% of FC Orenburg's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.