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Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 10

Athletic Carpi

14th in table · 9 pts

Sat 17 Oct 202613:30 WAT

3 : 1

Full time Prediction won

Lumezzane

11th in table · 12 pts

Pre-match win probability

10%Athletic Carpi45%Draw45%Lumezzane

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.30.

Odds1.30
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Carpi 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Lumezzane 45%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic CarpiLumezzane
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.4
Clean sheets
13
Failed to scoreLower is better
23
Wins
23
Biggest win streak
11

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%5%
1.5 goals79%21%
2.5 goals57%43%
3.5 goals34%66%

Both teams to score

Yes59.3%
No40.7%

Double chance

1X · Athletic Carpi or draw58.9%
12 · No draw75.5%
X2 · Lumezzane or draw65.6%

Correct score

1 – 111.4%
1 – 28.8%
0 – 18.1%

Both teams to score

Yes59.3%
No40.7%

1X

Chance58.9%

12

Chance75.5%

X2

Chance65.6%

1 – 1

Chance11.4%

1 – 2

Chance8.8%

0 – 1

Chance8.1%

2 – 1

Chance8%

1 – 0

Chance7.3%

0 – 2

Chance6.3%

2 – 2

Chance6.2%

0 – 0

Chance5.2%

1 / 1

Chance20.2%

1 / X

Chance5.3%

1 / 2

Chance2.6%

X / 1

Chance11.9%

X / X

Chance13.8%

X / 2

Chance13.8%

2 / 1

Chance2.3%

2 / X

Chance5.3%

2 / 2

Chance24.7%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30

Athletic CarpiLumezzane
Recent form20%80%
Attack45%55%
Defence31%69%
Goals model49%51%
Head-to-headNo data to compare
Overall36%64%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Athletic Carpi14 scored · 20 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Lumezzane11 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi

Athletic Carpi host Lumezzane in Italy Serie C - Girone A at Stadio Sandro Cabassi. In the current table, Athletic Carpi sit 14th on 9 points and Lumezzane are 11th on 12.

The feed's model puts Athletic Carpi at 10%, the draw at 45% and Lumezzane at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Lumezzane.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.30, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane FAQs

8 questions

When is the match between Athletic Carpi and Lumezzane?

Athletic Carpi v Lumezzane was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Italy Serie C - Girone A, Girone A - 10.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Athletic Carpi are 14th in the table, while Lumezzane are 11th.

What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.30.

Who is most likely to win Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

The draw and Lumezzane are level at the top: Athletic Carpi 10%, draw 45%, Lumezzane 45%.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.