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Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32

Atletico DE Rafaela

10th in table · 45 pts

WLLWL

Sun 4 Oct 202621:30 WAT

2 : 3

Full timePrediction lost

Atlanta

4th in table · 58 pts

LWWDW

Pre-match win probability

35%Atletico DE Rafaela35%Draw30%Atlanta

Our prediction

Draw

A tight fixture: the market gives the draw 34%.

Odds2.75
Confidence60%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico DE Rafaela 35%
  • Draw 35%
  • Atlanta 30%

Season statistics

Primera Nacional · 34 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico DE RafaelaAtlanta
Goals scored (avg)
0.81.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11
Clean sheets
1616
Failed to scoreLower is better
148
Wins
1218
Biggest win streak
34

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Atletico DE Rafaela4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 27 SeptGimnasia Y Tiro1 – 0Atletico DE RafaelaL
  • 19 SeptAtletico DE Rafaela4 – 2San Martin TucumanW
  • 13 SeptGimnasia Jujuy2 – 1Atletico DE RafaelaL
  • 6 SeptAgropecuario2 – 0Atletico DE RafaelaL
  • 29 AugAtletico DE Rafaela2 – 1Tristan SuarezW
Atlanta5W 1D 4L in last 10
  • 27 SeptAtlanta1 – 0AgropecuarioW
  • 21 SeptTristan Suarez0 – 0AtlantaD
  • 12 SeptAtlanta2 – 0Club Atlético GüemesW
  • 5 SeptChacarita Juniors0 – 1AtlantaW
  • 30 AugAtlanta0 – 1San Martin S.J.L
H2H
Head to headAtletico DE Rafaela 2W · 2D · Atlanta 2W · 1.1666666666666667 goals a game
  • 16 MayAtlanta2 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela
  • 6 OctAtletico DE Rafaela2 – 0Atlanta
  • 19 MayAtlanta2 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela
  • 25 JunAtletico DE Rafaela1 – 0Atlanta
  • 21 FebAtlanta0 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela
  • 22 AugAtlanta0 – 0Atletico DE Rafaela

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals87%14%
1.5 goals59%41%
2.5 goals32%68%
3.5 goals14%86%

Both teams to score

Yes39.6%
No60.4%

Double chance

1X · Atletico DE Rafaela or draw60.1%
12 · No draw69.4%
X2 · Atlanta or draw70.5%

Correct score

0 – 114.9%
0 – 013.5%
1 – 113.4%

Both teams to score

Yes39.6%
No60.4%

1X

Chance60.1%

12

Chance69.4%

X2

Chance70.5%

0 – 1

Chance14.9%

0 – 0

Chance13.5%

1 – 1

Chance13.4%

1 – 0

Chance12.2%

0 – 2

Chance8.2%

1 – 2

Chance7.4%

2 – 1

Chance6%

2 – 0

Chance5.5%

1 / 1

Chance16.2%

1 / X

Chance4.5%

1 / 2

Chance1.6%

X / 1

Chance12%

X / X

Chance21.7%

X / 2

Chance15.5%

2 / 1

Chance1.2%

2 / X

Chance4.5%

2 / 2

Chance22.8%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Draw at 2.75

Atletico DE RafaelaAtlanta
Recent form38%62%
Attack64%36%
Defence11%89%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall45%55%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Atletico DE Rafaela26 scored · 36 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atlanta42 scored · 31 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

5 match streak · Primera Nacional

Atletico DE Rafaela have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Primera Nacional.

4 match streak · Primera Nacional

Atlanta have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches in Primera Nacional.

4 match streak · Primera Nacional

Atlanta are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Primera Nacional.

Team news

Atletico DE Rafaela

Coach: Fernando Quiroz

  1. M. Bergia
  2. A. Solveyra
  3. L. Moscoloni
  4. L. Flores
  5. U. Yegros
  6. J. Capurro
  7. F. Jourdan
  8. J. Bonifacio
  9. A. Rodriguez
  10. L. Albertengo
  11. A. Obando

Atlanta

Coach: Cristian Pellerano

  1. F. Rago
  2. M. Garcia
  3. P. Ostachuk
  4. T. Rojas
  5. D. Arguello
  6. B. Rivero
  7. T. Castro Ponce
  8. F. Alvarez
  9. I. Rodriguez
  10. F. Romero
  11. A. Quintana

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera Nacional · Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela host Atlanta in Argentina Primera Nacional at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. In the current table, Atletico DE Rafaela sit 10th on 45 points and Atlanta are 4th on 58.

Form: Atletico DE Rafaela have taken 2W 0D 3L from their last 5, Atlanta 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Atletico DE Rafaela average 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; Atlanta average 0.9 and 1.0.

In their last 6 meetings Atletico DE Rafaela have won 2, Atlanta 2 and 2 were drawn, averaging 1.2 goals a game with both teams scoring in 0%.

The feed's model puts Atletico DE Rafaela at 35%, the draw at 35% and Atlanta at 30%. Its own advice: Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw.

Our published call was Draw at 2.75, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Atletico DE Rafaela and Atlanta?

Atletico DE Rafaela v Atlanta was played on Sun, 4 October 2026 at 20:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Argentina Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 32.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Atletico DE Rafaela are 10th in the table, while Atlanta are 4th.

What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta?

Our prediction is Draw at odds of 2.75.

Who is most likely to win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta?

Atletico DE Rafaela and The draw are level at the top: Atletico DE Rafaela 35%, draw 35%, Atlanta 30%.

Will both teams score in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta?

Both teams scored in 40% of Atletico DE Rafaela's last 10 matches and 20% of Atlanta's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.