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Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5

Bournemouth

15th in table · 6 pts

DDWDW

Sun 20 Sept 202614:00 WAT

0 : 1

Full timePrediction lost

Liverpool

5th in table · 12 pts

DWWDW

Pre-match win probability

10%Bournemouth45%Draw45%Liverpool

Our prediction

Both Teams to Score

The market prices both teams to score at 1.44.

Odds1.44
Confidence80%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bournemouth 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Liverpool 45%

Season statistics

Premier League · 7 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BournemouthLiverpool
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.91.1
Clean sheets
13
Failed to scoreLower is better
12
Wins
13
Biggest win streak
01

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Bournemouth4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 17 SeptReal Sociedad1 – 2BournemouthW
  • 12 SeptBournemouth2 – 2BrentfordD
  • 8 SeptBournemouth4 – 0LincolnW
  • 5 SeptNewcastle2 – 2BournemouthD
  • 29 AugBournemouth1 – 1EvertonD
Liverpool4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 15 SeptLiverpool3 – 1TottenhamW
  • 12 SeptLiverpool0 – 0FulhamD
  • 9 SeptLiverpool2 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 4 SeptIpswich0 – 2LiverpoolW
  • 29 AugLiverpool2 – 2Nottingham ForestD
H2H
Head to headBournemouth 1W · 0D · Liverpool 6W · 3.857142857142857 goals a game
  • 24 JanBournemouth3 – 2Liverpool
  • 15 AugLiverpool4 – 2Bournemouth
  • 1 FebBournemouth0 – 2Liverpool
  • 21 SeptLiverpool3 – 0Bournemouth
  • 21 JanBournemouth0 – 4Liverpool
  • 1 NovBournemouth1 – 2Liverpool

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.8
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals94%6%
1.5 goals77%23%
2.5 goals53%47%
3.5 goals31%69%

Both teams to score

Yes55.8%
No44.2%

Double chance

1X · Bournemouth or draw53.3%
12 · No draw75.3%
X2 · Liverpool or draw71.4%

Correct score

1 – 111.7%
0 – 19.7%
1 – 29.3%

Both teams to score

Yes55.8%
No44.2%

1X

Chance53.3%

12

Chance75.3%

X2

Chance71.4%

1 – 1

Chance11.7%

0 – 1

Chance9.7%

1 – 2

Chance9.3%

0 – 2

Chance7.8%

1 – 0

Chance7.3%

2 – 1

Chance7%

0 – 0

Chance6.1%

2 – 2

Chance5.6%

1 / 1

Chance16.4%

1 / X

Chance5.1%

1 / 2

Chance2.7%

X / 1

Chance10.4%

X / X

Chance14.5%

X / 2

Chance15.6%

2 / 1

Chance1.9%

2 / X

Chance5.1%

2 / 2

Chance28.4%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 1.44

BournemouthLiverpool
Recent form33%67%
Attack50%50%
Defence36%64%
Goals model30%70%
Head-to-head20%80%
Overall32%68%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Bournemouth8 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Liverpool9 scored · 8 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Bournemouth

Total shots17.7
Blocked5.2
53% off target47% on target
62% inside box38% outside box
Total passes430.2
Accurate passes351.3 (82%)
Possession50%

Liverpool

Total shots15
Blocked6
43% off target57% on target
62% inside box38% outside box
Total passes481.3
Accurate passes413 (86%)
Possession57%

Trends

5 match streak · Premier League

Bournemouth have scored in each of their last 5 matches in Premier League.

5 match streak · Premier League

Bournemouth have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Premier League.

5 match streak · Premier League

Both teams have scored in each of Bournemouth's last 5 matches in Premier League.

5 match streak · Premier League

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches in Premier League.

Team news

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Coach: Marco Rose

  1. D. Petrovic
  2. A. Smith
  3. J. Hill
  4. A. Silva
  5. A. Truffert
  6. T. Adams
  7. A. Scott
  8. Rayan
  9. R. Christie
  10. M. Tavernier
  11. Evanilson

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Coach: Andoni Iraola

  1. Alisson
  2. R. Araujo
  3. J. Jacquet
  4. V. van Dijk
  5. M. Kerkez
  6. D. Szoboszlai
  7. A. Mac Allister
  8. C. Gakpo
  9. F. Wirtz
  10. B. Barcola
  11. A. Isak

Injuries and suspensions

  • A. Adli (Bournemouth): Calf Injury
  • J. Araujo (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • J. Kluivert (Bournemouth): Muscle Injury
  • E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth): Foot Injury
  • V. Milosavljevic (Bournemouth): Injury
  • C. Bradley (Liverpool): Knee Injury
  • F. Chiesa (Liverpool): Back Injury
  • H. Ekitike (Liverpool): Achilles Tendon Injury
  • G. Leoni (Liverpool): Knee Injury
  • A. Adli (Bournemouth): Calf Injury
  • J. Araujo (Bournemouth): Thigh Injury
  • J. Kluivert (Bournemouth): Muscle Injury

Bournemouth vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth host Liverpool in England Premier League at Vitality Stadium. In the current table, Bournemouth sit 15th on 6 points and Liverpool are 5th on 12.

Form: Bournemouth have taken 2W 3D 0L from their last 5, Liverpool 3W 2D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Bournemouth average 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Liverpool average 1.6 and 1.3.

In their last 7 meetings Bournemouth have won 1, Liverpool 6 and 0 were drawn, averaging 3.9 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Bournemouth at 10%, the draw at 45% and Liverpool at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool.

Our published call was Both Teams to Score at 1.44, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Bournemouth vs Liverpool FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Bournemouth and Liverpool?

Bournemouth v Liverpool was played on Sun, 20 September 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

England Premier League, Regular Season - 5.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Bournemouth are 15th in the table, while Liverpool are 5th.

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Our prediction is Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.44.

Who is most likely to win Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

The draw and Liverpool are level at the top: Bournemouth 10%, draw 45%, Liverpool 45%.

Will both teams score in Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Both teams scored in 90% of Bournemouth's last 10 matches and 60% of Liverpool's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.