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CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 13

CA La Paz

 

Sat 17 Oct 202604:00 WAT

2 : 2

Full timePrediction lost

Tlaxcala

 

Pre-match win probability

45%CA La Paz45%Draw10%Tlaxcala

Our prediction

Home Win · CA La Paz

CA La Paz are the stronger side at 62%.

Odds1.50
Confidence80%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CA La Paz 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Tlaxcala 10%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · 13 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CA La PazTlaxcala
Goals scored (avg)
2.31.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.32.1
Clean sheets
30
Failed to scoreLower is better
12
Wins
74
Biggest win streak
21

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.8
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals98%2%
1.5 goals89%11%
2.5 goals73%27%
3.5 goals53%47%

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

Double chance

1X · CA La Paz or draw71.9%
12 · No draw79.6%
X2 · Tlaxcala or draw48.5%

Correct score

2 – 18.7%
1 – 17.9%
2 – 26.9%

Both teams to score

Yes71%
No29%

1X

Chance71.9%

12

Chance79.6%

X2

Chance48.5%

2 – 1

Chance8.7%

1 – 1

Chance7.9%

2 – 2

Chance6.9%

3 – 1

Chance6.4%

1 – 2

Chance6.3%

2 – 0

Chance5.4%

3 – 2

Chance5.1%

1 – 0

Chance4.9%

1 / 1

Chance32.9%

1 / X

Chance5.3%

1 / 2

Chance2.5%

X / 1

Chance14.6%

X / X

Chance9.9%

X / 2

Chance9%

2 / 1

Chance3.9%

2 / X

Chance5.3%

2 / 2

Chance16.6%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: CA La Paz · Our pick: Home Win at 1.50

CA La PazTlaxcala
Recent form50%50%
Attack52%48%
Defence53%47%
Goals model72%28%
Head-to-head85%15%
Overall62%38%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

CA La Paz32 scored · 15 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tlaxcala25 scored · 27 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Estadio Guaycura, La Paz

CA La Paz host Tlaxcala in Mexico Liga de Expansión MX at Estadio Guaycura.

The feed's model puts CA La Paz at 45%, the draw at 45% and Tlaxcala at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : CA La Paz or draw.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.50, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala FAQs

7 questions

When is the match between CA La Paz and Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz v Tlaxcala was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 03:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Mexico Liga de Expansión MX, Apertura - 13.

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.50.

Who is most likely to win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz and The draw are level at the top: CA La Paz 45%, draw 45%, Tlaxcala 10%.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.