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Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

BrazilBrazil · Serie ARegular Season - 34
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

3rd in table · 57 pts

WLWWW

Fri 6 Nov 202601:30 WAT

vs

Not started
Bahia

Bahia

6th in table · 53 pts

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

45%Cruzeiro45%Draw10%Bahia

Match events

Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute.

Goals, cards and substitutions appear here as soon as the match kicks off.

Our prediction

Home Win · Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro carry a 22 point edge at home.

Odds1.70
Confidence60%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cruzeiro 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Bahia 10%

Also rated:Home Win @ 1.70

Season statistics

Serie A · 33 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CruzeiroCruzeiroBahiaBahia
Goals scored (avg)
1.6CruzeiroBahia1.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.4CruzeiroBahia1.3
Clean sheets
8CruzeiroBahia9
Failed to scoreLower is better
4CruzeiroBahia5
Wins
17CruzeiroBahia14
Biggest win streak
4CruzeiroBahia4

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro6W 0D 4L in last 10
  • 29 OctAtletico-MGAtletico-MG0 – 1CruzeiroCruzeiroW
  • 23 OctCruzeiroCruzeiro1 – 0RemoRemoW
  • 18 OctGremioGremio2 – 4CruzeiroCruzeiroW
  • 13 OctRB BragantinoRB Bragantino4 – 2CruzeiroCruzeiroL
  • 8 OctCruzeiroCruzeiro2 – 0Sao PauloSao PauloW
Bahia
Bahia6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 29 OctBahiaBahia3 – 2Sao PauloSao PauloW
  • 25 OctSantosSantos1 – 1BahiaBahiaD
  • 18 OctBahiaBahia0 – 3FlamengoFlamengoL
  • 11 OctBahiaBahia1 – 0MirassolMirassolW
  • 9 OctPalmeirasPalmeiras1 – 0BahiaBahiaL
CruzeiroH2HBahia
Head to headCruzeiro 5W · 2D · Bahia 1W · 3 goals a game
  • 10 MayBahia1 – 2Cruzeiro
  • 15 SeptBahia1 – 2Cruzeiro
  • 18 AprCruzeiro3 – 0Bahia
  • 19 OctCruzeiro1 – 1Bahia
  • 23 JunBahia4 – 1Cruzeiro
  • 25 OctCruzeiro3 – 0Bahia

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.9
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%6%
1.5 goals79%22%
2.5 goals55%45%
3.5 goals33%67%

Both teams to score

Yes58.6%
No41.4%

Double chance

1X · Cruzeiro or draw62.4%
12 · No draw75.2%
X2 · Bahia or draw62.4%

Correct score

1 – 111.6%
1 – 28.4%
2 – 18.4%

Both teams to score

Yes58.6%
No41.4%

1X

Chance62.4%

12

Chance75.2%

X2

Chance62.4%

1 – 1

Chance11.6%

1 – 2

Chance8.4%

2 – 1

Chance8.4%

1 – 0

Chance8%

0 – 1

Chance8%

2 – 2

Chance6.1%

2 – 0

Chance5.8%

0 – 2

Chance5.8%

1 / 1

Chance22.3%

1 / X

Chance5.3%

1 / 2

Chance2.4%

X / 1

Chance12.9%

X / X

Chance14.1%

X / 2

Chance12.9%

2 / 1

Chance2.4%

2 / X

Chance5.3%

2 / 2

Chance22.3%

Home -1

Chance45%
Odds2.08

Away +1

Chance55%
Odds1.72

Home -0.75

Chance52%
Odds1.85

Away +0.75

Chance48%
Odds2.00

Home -0.5

Chance57%
Odds1.65

Away +0.5

Chance43%
Odds2.20

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 11.5

Chance51%
Odds1.85

Under 11.5

Chance49%
Odds1.95

Total corners over/under.

Over 4.5

Chance56%
Odds1.67

Under 4.5

Chance44%
Odds2.10

Total cards over/under.

  • Kaio Jorge2.0050%
  • Marquinhos Alencar2.6038%
  • Luis Sinisterra2.6038%
  • Luciano Rodriguez2.7536%
  • Keny Arroyo2.7536%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Cruzeiro · Our pick: Home Win at 1.70

CruzeiroCruzeiroBahiaBahia
Recent form63%37%
Attack67%33%
Defence54%46%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head71%29%
Overall61%39%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

CruzeiroCruzeiro53 scored · 45 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

BahiaBahia48 scored · 42 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

CruzeiroCruzeiro

Total shots16.8
Blocked3.5
46% off target54% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes490.2
Accurate passes422.7 (86%)
Possession56%

BahiaBahia

Total shots12.3
Blocked3.5
72% off target28% on target
70% inside box30% outside box
Total passes429
Accurate passes358.7 (84%)
Possession48%

Trends

12 match streak · Serie A

Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 12 matches in Serie A.

Team news

Injuries and suspensions

  • Felipe Morais (Cruzeiro): Muscle Injury
  • Gabriel Pec (Cruzeiro): Broken Leg
  • Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro): Yellow Cards
  • L. Sinisterra (Cruzeiro): Muscle Injury
  • L. Villalba (Cruzeiro): Yellow Cards
  • William Furtado (Cruzeiro): Yellow Cards
  • Joao Marcelo (Cruzeiro): Injury
  • Leo Vieira (Bahia): Knee Injury
  • Felipe Morais (Cruzeiro): Muscle Injury
  • Gabriel Pec (Cruzeiro): Broken Leg
  • Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro): Yellow Cards
  • L. Sinisterra (Cruzeiro): Muscle Injury

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Fri, 6 Nov 2026 · Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

Cruzeiro host Bahia in Brazil Serie A at Estádio Mineirão. In the table, Cruzeiro sit 3rd on 57 points and Bahia are 6th on 53.

Form: Cruzeiro have taken 4W 0D 1L from their last 5, Bahia 2W 1D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Cruzeiro average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded; Bahia average 1.6 and 1.4.

In their last 8 meetings Cruzeiro have won 5, Bahia 1 and 2 were drawn, averaging 3.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 63%.

The feed's model puts Cruzeiro at 45%, the draw at 45% and Bahia at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw.

Our call for this match is Home Win at 1.70. Cruzeiro carry a 22 point edge at home.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Cruzeiro vs Bahia FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Cruzeiro and Bahia?

Cruzeiro v Bahia is scheduled on Fri, 6 November 2026 at 00:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 34.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Cruzeiro are 3rd in the table, while Bahia are 6th.

What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.70.

Who is most likely to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro and The draw are level at the top: Cruzeiro 45%, draw 45%, Bahia 10%.

Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Both teams scored in 70% of Cruzeiro's last 10 matches and 60% of Bahia's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.