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Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11

Defensa Y Justicia

10th in table · 19 pts

WWLWD

Sat 3 Oct 202618:45 WAT

3 : 0

Full time Prediction won

San Lorenzo

7th in table · 22 pts

DLWDL

Pre-match win probability

45%Defensa Y Justicia45%Draw10%San Lorenzo

Our prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

A controlled fixture — the goals line sits under 3.5.

Odds1.17
Confidence60%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Defensa Y Justicia 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • San Lorenzo 10%

Season statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina · 29 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo
Goals scored (avg)
1.20.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11
Clean sheets
914
Failed to scoreLower is better
812
Wins
119
Biggest win streak
22

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Defensa Y Justicia5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 18 SeptCentral Cordoba de Santiago2 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaD
  • 11 SeptDefensa Y Justicia2 – 0Gimnasia M.W
  • 6 SeptLanus1 – 0Defensa Y JusticiaL
  • 31 AugDefensa Y Justicia1 – 0PlatenseW
  • 23 AugBelgrano Cordoba1 – 2Defensa Y JusticiaW
San Lorenzo3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 20 SeptSan Lorenzo0 – 2Boca JuniorsL
  • 13 SeptIndependiente1 – 1San LorenzoD
  • 5 SeptSan Lorenzo1 – 0Talleres CordobaW
  • 1 SeptInstituto Cordoba1 – 0San LorenzoL
  • 21 AugEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto0 – 0San LorenzoD
H2H
Head to headDefensa Y Justicia 3W · 3D · San Lorenzo 1W · 1.5714285714285714 goals a game
  • 16 MarSan Lorenzo2 – 5Defensa Y Justicia
  • 22 SeptDefensa Y Justicia0 – 0San Lorenzo
  • 7 AprSan Lorenzo0 – 2Defensa Y Justicia
  • 24 NovDefensa Y Justicia1 – 0San Lorenzo
  • 12 NovDefensa Y Justicia0 – 1San Lorenzo
  • 8 MaySan Lorenzo0 – 0Defensa Y Justicia

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals87%14%
1.5 goals59%41%
2.5 goals32%68%
3.5 goals14%86%

Both teams to score

Yes39.6%
No60.4%

Double chance

1X · Defensa Y Justicia or draw70.5%
12 · No draw69.4%
X2 · San Lorenzo or draw60.1%

Correct score

1 – 014.9%
0 – 013.5%
1 – 113.4%

Both teams to score

Yes39.6%
No60.4%

1X

Chance70.5%

12

Chance69.4%

X2

Chance60.1%

1 – 0

Chance14.9%

0 – 0

Chance13.5%

1 – 1

Chance13.4%

0 – 1

Chance12.2%

2 – 0

Chance8.2%

2 – 1

Chance7.4%

1 – 2

Chance6%

0 – 2

Chance5.5%

1 / 1

Chance22.8%

1 / X

Chance4.5%

1 / 2

Chance1.2%

X / 1

Chance15.5%

X / X

Chance21.7%

X / 2

Chance12%

2 / 1

Chance1.6%

2 / X

Chance4.5%

2 / 2

Chance16.2%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Defensa Y Justicia · Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17

Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo
Recent form67%33%
Attack78%22%
Defence50%50%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head71%29%
Overall66%34%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Defensa Y Justicia36 scored · 33 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

San Lorenzo21 scored · 27 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Defensa Y Justicia

Total shots13
Blocked3
52% off target48% on target
53% inside box47% outside box
Total passes391.2
Accurate passes298.5 (76%)
Possession48%

San Lorenzo

Total shots10.5
Blocked2.2
58% off target42% on target
57% inside box43% outside box
Total passes327.3
Accurate passes245.7 (75%)
Possession45%

Team news

Defensa Y Justicia 4-1-4-1

Coach: Julio Vaccari

  1. M. Borgogno
  2. V. Loza
  3. D. Fernandez
  4. D. Martinez
  5. F. Roman
  6. S. Sosa
  7. J. Gutierrez
  8. D. Barbona
  9. M. Porcel
  10. J. Lucco
  11. L. Fernandez

San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2

Coach: Dario Insua Ruben

  1. J. Devecchi
  2. D. Arboleda
  3. G. Corujo
  4. A. Cordoba
  5. N. Tripichio
  6. M. Cardillo
  7. I. Perruzzi
  8. M. De Ritis
  9. F. Farias
  10. A. Cuello
  11. R. Auzmendi

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo: prediction & preview

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa

Defensa Y Justicia host San Lorenzo in Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello. In the current table, Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th on 19 points and San Lorenzo are 7th on 22.

Form: Defensa Y Justicia have taken 3W 1D 1L from their last 5, San Lorenzo 1W 2D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Defensa Y Justicia average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; San Lorenzo average 0.4 and 0.8.

In their last 7 meetings Defensa Y Justicia have won 3, San Lorenzo 1 and 3 were drawn, averaging 1.6 goals a game with both teams scoring in 14%.

The feed's model puts Defensa Y Justicia at 45%, the draw at 45% and San Lorenzo at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Defensa Y Justicia or draw and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo?

Defensa Y Justicia v San Lorenzo was played on Sat, 3 October 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - 11.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Defensa Y Justicia are 10th in the table, while San Lorenzo are 7th.

What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.17.

Who is most likely to win Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?

Defensa Y Justicia and The draw are level at the top: Defensa Y Justicia 45%, draw 45%, San Lorenzo 10%.

Will both teams score in Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo?

Both teams scored in 60% of Defensa Y Justicia's last 10 matches and 10% of San Lorenzo's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.