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FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónClausura - 12

FBC Melgar

3rd in table · 50 pts

LWWDD

Sun 18 Oct 202600:00 WAT

4 : 2

Full time Prediction won

Deportivo Garcilaso

4th in table · 48 pts

WWLWL

Pre-match win probability

10%FBC Melgar45%Draw45%Deportivo Garcilaso

Our prediction

Home or Away (12)

Deportivo Garcilaso lead a fixture that should separate — 12 covers either side winning.

Odds1.25
Confidence60%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FBC Melgar 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Deportivo Garcilaso 45%

Season statistics

Primera División · 29 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Goals scored (avg)
1.81.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11
Clean sheets
811
Failed to scoreLower is better
48
Wins
1414
Biggest win streak
34

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

FBC Melgar4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 11 OctUniversitario2 – 2FBC MelgarD
  • 20 SeptFBC Melgar1 – 1Sport BoysD
  • 12 SeptCusco0 – 1FBC MelgarW
  • 6 SeptFBC Melgar3 – 0ADTW
  • 1 SeptAtletico Grau1 – 0FBC MelgarL
Deportivo Garcilaso7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 10 OctDeportivo Garcilaso0 – 1Sport HuancayoL
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 0UniversitarioW
  • 13 SeptSport Boys1 – 0Deportivo GarcilasoL
  • 6 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso4 – 2Atletico GrauW
  • 30 AugAlianza Lima0 – 1Deportivo GarcilasoW
H2H
Head to headFBC Melgar 1W · 3D · Deportivo Garcilaso 2W · 2.6666666666666665 goals a game
  • 28 AprDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 0FBC Melgar
  • 19 SeptDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 1FBC Melgar
  • 18 AprFBC Melgar1 – 2Deportivo Garcilaso
  • 3 NovFBC Melgar1 – 1Deportivo Garcilaso
  • 25 MayDeportivo Garcilaso1 – 3FBC Melgar
  • 1 JulDeportivo Garcilaso2 – 2FBC Melgar

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.7
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals93%7%
1.5 goals74%26%
2.5 goals49%51%
3.5 goals28%73%

Both teams to score

Yes53.8%
No46.2%

Double chance

1X · FBC Melgar or draw66.5%
12 · No draw74%
X2 · Deportivo Garcilaso or draw59.5%

Correct score

1 – 112.4%
1 – 09.9%
0 – 18.8%

Both teams to score

Yes53.8%
No46.2%

1X

Chance66.5%

12

Chance74%

X2

Chance59.5%

1 – 1

Chance12.4%

1 – 0

Chance9.9%

0 – 1

Chance8.8%

2 – 1

Chance8.7%

1 – 2

Chance7.7%

0 – 0

Chance7.1%

2 – 0

Chance6.9%

0 – 2

Chance5.5%

1 / 1

Chance24%

1 / X

Chance5.1%

1 / 2

Chance2%

X / 1

Chance14.2%

X / X

Chance15.7%

X / 2

Chance12.2%

2 / 1

Chance2.3%

2 / X

Chance5.1%

2 / 2

Chance19.4%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.25

FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso
Recent form47%53%
Attack44%56%
Defence50%50%
Goals model69%31%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall45%55%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

FBC Melgar51 scored · 33 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Deportivo Garcilaso42 scored · 28 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

FBC Melgar

Total shots19
Blocked3.7
53% off target47% on target
68% inside box32% outside box
Total passes475.8
Accurate passes404.3 (85%)
Possession55%

Deportivo Garcilaso

Total shots18
Blocked3.5
48% off target52% on target
51% inside box49% outside box
Total passes338.2
Accurate passes273.5 (81%)
Possession47%

Trends

4 match streak · Primera División

FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primera División.

4 match streak · Primera División

FBC Melgar are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Primera División.

Team news

FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Rondelli

  1. J. Cabezudo
  2. M. Lazo
  3. J. Escobar
  4. L. González
  5. N. Cabanillas
  6. K. Minda
  7. W. Tandazo
  8. C. Bordacahar
  9. N. Quagliata
  10. J. Vidales
  11. B. Cuesta

Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1

Coach: Lisandro Greppo

  1. P. Zubczuk
  2. E. Canales
  3. A. Salazar
  4. A. Gómez
  5. X. Moreno
  6. A. González
  7. F. Arancibia
  8. P. Labrin
  9. C. Ramos
  10. L. da Silva
  11. F. Castelli

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA, Arequipa

FBC Melgar host Deportivo Garcilaso in Peru Primera División at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA. In the current table, FBC Melgar sit 3rd on 50 points and Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th on 48.

Form: FBC Melgar have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, Deportivo Garcilaso 3W 0D 2L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches FBC Melgar average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded; Deportivo Garcilaso average 1.8 and 0.6.

In their last 6 meetings FBC Melgar have won 1, Deportivo Garcilaso 2 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 83%.

The feed's model puts FBC Melgar at 10%, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Garcilaso at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Garcilaso.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.25, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between FBC Melgar and Deportivo Garcilaso?

FBC Melgar v Deportivo Garcilaso was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Peru Primera División, Clausura - 12.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

FBC Melgar are 3rd in the table, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th.

What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

The draw and Deportivo Garcilaso are level at the top: FBC Melgar 10%, draw 45%, Deportivo Garcilaso 45%.

Will both teams score in FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Both teams scored in 50% of FBC Melgar's last 10 matches and 30% of Deportivo Garcilaso's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.