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Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXApertura - 12

Guadalajara Chivas

2nd in table · 23 pts

WDLWD

Sun 18 Oct 202600:07 WAT

1 : 1

Full timePrediction lost

Tigres UANL

14th in table · 14 pts

DDLWW

Pre-match win probability

35%Guadalajara Chivas35%Draw30%Tigres UANL

Our prediction

Home or Away (12)

Guadalajara Chivas lead a fixture that should separate — 12 covers either side winning.

Odds1.25
Confidence60%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Guadalajara Chivas 35%
  • Draw 35%
  • Tigres UANL 30%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 12 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.4
Clean sheets
44
Failed to scoreLower is better
24
Wins
53
Biggest win streak
22

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Guadalajara Chivas6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 11 OctAtlas1 – 1Guadalajara ChivasD
  • 5 OctGuadalajara Chivas2 – 0Club AmericaW
  • 26 SeptGuadalajara Chivas0 – 2Club QueretaroL
  • 20 SeptClub America2 – 2Guadalajara ChivasD
  • 14 SeptGuadalajara Chivas3 – 0U.N.A.M. - PumasW
Tigres UANL3W 5D 2L in last 10
  • 10 OctTigres UANL3 – 2TolucaW
  • 27 SeptTigres UANL1 – 0PueblaW
  • 19 SeptFC Juarez2 – 0Tigres UANLL
  • 13 SeptMonterrey0 – 0Tigres UANLD
  • 6 SeptTigres UANL1 – 1NecaxaD
H2H
Head to headGuadalajara Chivas 1W · 3D · Tigres UANL 3W · 2.2857142857142856 goals a game
  • 10 MayGuadalajara Chivas2 – 0Tigres UANL
  • 3 MayTigres UANL3 – 1Guadalajara Chivas
  • 11 AprTigres UANL4 – 1Guadalajara Chivas
  • 18 SeptGuadalajara Chivas0 – 0Tigres UANL
  • 26 JanGuadalajara Chivas1 – 1Tigres UANL
  • 25 AugTigres UANL1 – 1Guadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.6
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals92%8%
1.5 goals72%28%
2.5 goals47%53%
3.5 goals25%75%

Both teams to score

Yes50.5%
No49.5%

Double chance

1X · Guadalajara Chivas or draw73.5%
12 · No draw74.1%
X2 · Tigres UANL or draw52.4%

Correct score

1 – 112.3%
1 – 011.7%
2 – 19.2%

Both teams to score

Yes50.5%
No49.5%

1X

Chance73.5%

12

Chance74.1%

X2

Chance52.4%

1 – 1

Chance12.3%

1 – 0

Chance11.7%

2 – 1

Chance9.2%

2 – 0

Chance8.8%

0 – 1

Chance8.2%

0 – 0

Chance7.8%

1 – 2

Chance6.5%

2 – 2

Chance4.8%

1 / 1

Chance28.7%

1 / X

Chance4.9%

1 / 2

Chance1.5%

X / 1

Chance16.4%

X / X

Chance16.1%

X / 2

Chance10.1%

2 / 1

Chance2.4%

2 / X

Chance4.9%

2 / 2

Chance14.9%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Guadalajara Chivas · Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.25

Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
Recent form50%50%
Attack64%36%
Defence50%50%
Goals model77%23%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall53%47%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Guadalajara Chivas18 scored · 13 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tigres UANL14 scored · 18 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Guadalajara Chivas

Total shots12.4
Blocked2.6
55% off target45% on target
52% inside box48% outside box
Total passes555.4
Accurate passes477.8 (86%)
Possession58%

Tigres UANL

Total shots14.7
Blocked2.2
56% off target44% on target
63% inside box37% outside box
Total passes392.3
Accurate passes317.5 (81%)
Possession47%

Team news

Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1

Coach: Gabriel Milito

  1. R. Rangel
  2. D. Aguirre
  3. L. Rey
  4. D. Campillo Del Campo
  5. R. Alvarado
  6. F. Gonzalez
  7. B. Gutierrez
  8. L. Calderon
  9. S. Sandoval
  10. E. Alvarez
  11. A. Sepulveda

Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1

Coach: Manuel Vucetich Rojas Victor

  1. N. Guzman
  2. A. Franco
  3. Joaquim
  4. R. Guerrero
  5. M. Lainez
  6. C. Araujo
  7. F. Gorriaran
  8. D. A. Sanchez Guevara
  9. D. Lainez
  10. R. Aguirre
  11. J. Brunetta

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara

Guadalajara Chivas host Tigres UANL in Mexico Liga MX at Estadio Akron. In the current table, Guadalajara Chivas sit 2nd on 23 points and Tigres UANL are 14th on 14.

Form: Guadalajara Chivas have taken 2W 2D 1L from their last 5, Tigres UANL 2W 2D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Guadalajara Chivas average 2.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; Tigres UANL average 0.9 and 0.8.

In their last 7 meetings Guadalajara Chivas have won 1, Tigres UANL 3 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Guadalajara Chivas at 35%, the draw at 35% and Tigres UANL at 30%. Its own advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.25, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Guadalajara Chivas and Tigres UANL?

Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 23:07 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Mexico Liga MX, Apertura - 12.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Guadalajara Chivas are 2nd in the table, while Tigres UANL are 14th.

What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?

Guadalajara Chivas and The draw are level at the top: Guadalajara Chivas 35%, draw 35%, Tigres UANL 30%.

Will both teams score in Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL?

Both teams scored in 50% of Guadalajara Chivas's last 10 matches and 40% of Tigres UANL's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.