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Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · USL ChampionshipGroup Stage

Las Vegas Lights

11th in table · 36 pts

Sun 18 Oct 202603:30 WAT

3 : 5

Full timePrediction lost

Lexington

4th in table · 47 pts

Our prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The market leans to fewer than four goals at 1.50.

Odds1.50
Confidence60%
ResultLost

Season statistics

USL Championship · 29 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Las Vegas LightsLexington
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.2
Clean sheets
810
Failed to scoreLower is better
47
Wins
1014
Biggest win streak
24

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.1
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%5%
1.5 goals81%19%
2.5 goals59%41%
3.5 goals36%64%

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

Double chance

1X · Las Vegas Lights or draw52%
12 · No draw76.6%
X2 · Lexington or draw71.5%

Correct score

1 – 110.8%
1 – 29.4%
0 – 18.3%

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

1X

Chance52%

12

Chance76.6%

X2

Chance71.5%

1 – 1

Chance10.8%

1 – 2

Chance9.4%

0 – 1

Chance8.3%

0 – 2

Chance7.3%

2 – 1

Chance7%

1 – 0

Chance6.2%

2 – 2

Chance6.1%

1 – 3

Chance5.5%

1 / 1

Chance16.5%

1 / X

Chance5.2%

1 / 2

Chance3%

X / 1

Chance10%

X / X

Chance13%

X / 2

Chance15.4%

2 / 1

Chance2%

2 / X

Chance5.2%

2 / 2

Chance29.7%

Model comparison

Our pick: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50

Las Vegas LightsLexington

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Las Vegas Lights42 scored · 44 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Lexington52 scored · 38 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Team news

Las Vegas Lights 4-3-3

Coach: Devin Rensing

  1. T. Henry
  2. N. Sessock
  3. N. Jones
  4. A. Guillen
  5. T. Antonoglou
  6. M. Ybarra
  7. G. Probo
  8. C. Locker
  9. C. Pinzon
  10. J. Rodriguez
  11. O. Anderson

Lexington 4-2-3-1

Coach: Masaki Hemmi

  1. O. Semmle
  2. X. Zengue
  3. K. Burks
  4. M. Muir
  5. J. Greene
  6. B. Ferri
  7. A. Molloy
  8. M. Fry
  9. Nick Firmino
  10. M. Epps
  11. P. Goodrum

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: prediction & preview

USA · USL Championship · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Cashman Field

Las Vegas Lights host Lexington in USA USL Championship at Cashman Field. In the current table, Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points and Lexington are 4th on 47.

Our published call was Under 3.5 Goals at 1.50, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington FAQs

7 questions

When is the match between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?

Las Vegas Lights v Lexington was played on Sun, 18 October 2026 at 02:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

USA USL Championship, Group Stage.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Las Vegas Lights are 11th in the table, while Lexington are 4th.

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?

Our prediction is Under 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.50.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.