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Maardu vs Tartu Welco Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · Esiliiga ARegular Season - 19

Maardu

6th in table · 43 pts

DW

Mon 13 Jul 202617:00 WAT

1 : 8

Full time Prediction won

Tartu Welco

1st in table · 71 pts

Pre-match win probability

10%Maardu45%Draw45%Tartu Welco

Our prediction

Away Win · Tartu Welco

Odds1.40
Confidence–
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Maardu 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Tartu Welco 45%

Season statistics

Esiliiga A · 27 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

MaarduTartu Welco
Goals scored (avg)
1.72.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.3
Clean sheets
310
Failed to scoreLower is better
54
Wins
1222
Biggest win streak
26

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Maardu1W 1D 0L in last 2
  • 9 JulMaardu3 – 2Flora IIW
  • 3 JulTallinna Kalev3 – 3MaarduD
Tartu Welco0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headMaardu 2W · 0D · Tartu Welco 2W · 4.5 goals a game
    • 24 MayMaardu0 – 1Tartu Welco
    • 21 MarTartu Welco5 – 1Maardu
    • 18 SeptMaardu7 – 0Tartu Welco
    • 14 JulTartu Welco0 – 4Maardu

    Betting markets

    Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

    Model xG 4
    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals98%2%
    1.5 goals91%10%
    2.5 goals75%25%
    3.5 goals56%44%

    Both teams to score

    Yes71%
    No29%

    Double chance

    1X · Maardu or draw41.5%
    12 · No draw81.1%
    X2 · Tartu Welco or draw77.3%

    Correct score

    1 – 28.7%
    1 – 37.1%
    1 – 17.1%

    Both teams to score

    Yes71%
    No29%

    1X

    Chance41.5%

    12

    Chance81.1%

    X2

    Chance77.3%

    1 – 2

    Chance8.7%

    1 – 3

    Chance7.1%

    1 – 1

    Chance7.1%

    2 – 2

    Chance6.5%

    0 – 2

    Chance5.8%

    2 – 3

    Chance5.3%

    2 – 1

    Chance5.3%

    0 – 3

    Chance4.7%

    1 / 1

    Chance13.2%

    1 / X

    Chance4.9%

    1 / 2

    Chance4.3%

    X / 1

    Chance7.3%

    X / X

    Chance9%

    X / 2

    Chance15.7%

    2 / 1

    Chance2.2%

    2 / X

    Chance4.9%

    2 / 2

    Chance38.5%

    Model comparison

    Predicted winner: Tartu Welco · Our pick: Away Win at 1.40

    MaarduTartu Welco
    Recent form43%57%
    Attack43%57%
    Defence33%67%
    Goals model26%74%
    Head-to-head38%62%
    Overall40%60%

    Goals by time period

    When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

    Scored Conceded

    Maardu46 scored · 54 conceded

    0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

    Tartu Welco94 scored · 44 conceded

    0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

    Maardu vs Tartu Welco: prediction & preview

    Estonia · Esiliiga A · Mon, 13 Jul 2026 · Maardu linnastaadion

    Maardu host Tartu Welco in Estonia Esiliiga A at Maardu linnastaadion. In the current table, Maardu sit 6th on 43 points and Tartu Welco are 1st on 71.

    In their last 4 meetings Maardu have won 2, Tartu Welco 2 and 0 were drawn, averaging 4.5 goals a game with both teams scoring in 25%.

    The feed's model puts Maardu at 10%, the draw at 45% and Tartu Welco at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Tartu Welco.

    Our published call was Away Win at 1.40, which landed.

    Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

    Maardu vs Tartu Welco FAQs

    8 questions

    When is the match between Maardu and Tartu Welco?

    Maardu v Tartu Welco was played on Mon, 13 July 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

    Which league is this match in?

    Estonia Esiliiga A, Regular Season - 19.

    What is their ranking in the league table this season?

    Maardu are 6th in the table, while Tartu Welco are 1st.

    What is the prediction for Maardu vs Tartu Welco?

    Our prediction is Away Win at odds of 1.40.

    Who is most likely to win Maardu vs Tartu Welco?

    The draw and Tartu Welco are level at the top: Maardu 10%, draw 45%, Tartu Welco 45%.

    How accurate is the prediction for this match?

    The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.