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Napoli vs Como Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ARegular Season - 2

Napoli

9th in table · 10 pts

WWDWW

Sun 30 Aug 202617:30 WAT

1 : 2

Full time Prediction won

Como

5th in table · 14 pts

DWDDD

Pre-match win probability

45%Napoli45%Draw10%Como

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Odds1.41
Confidence–
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Napoli 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Como 10%

Season statistics

Serie A · 7 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

NapoliComo
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11
Clean sheets
31
Failed to scoreLower is better
12
Wins
34
Biggest win streak
13

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Napoli6W 1D 1L in last 8
  • 22 AugGenoa0 – 2NapoliW
  • 12 AugNapoli6 – 2Aris ThessalonikisW
  • 8 AugNapoli1 – 1Celta VigoD
  • 5 AugNapoli2 – 1OsasunaW
  • 26 JulNapoli2 – 0CarrareseW
Como3W 5D 0L in last 8
  • 22 AugUdinese1 – 1ComoD
  • 16 AugLiverpool0 – 0ComoD
  • 12 AugArsenal1 – 1ComoD
  • 31 JulFamalicao2 – 3ComoW
  • 29 JulVillarreal1 – 1ComoD
H2H
Head to headNapoli 1W · 3D · Como 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 2 MayComo0 – 0Napoli
  • 10 FebNapoli1 – 1Como
  • 1 NovNapoli0 – 0Como
  • 23 FebComo2 – 1Napoli
  • 4 OctNapoli3 – 1Como

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.6
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals92%8%
1.5 goals72%28%
2.5 goals47%53%
3.5 goals25%75%

Both teams to score

Yes51.8%
No48.2%

Double chance

1X · Napoli or draw59.8%
12 · No draw73.4%
X2 · Como or draw66.8%

Correct score

1 – 112.6%
0 – 110.5%
1 – 09.4%

Both teams to score

Yes51.8%
No48.2%

1X

Chance59.8%

12

Chance73.4%

X2

Chance66.8%

1 – 1

Chance12.6%

0 – 1

Chance10.5%

1 – 0

Chance9.4%

1 – 2

Chance8.5%

0 – 0

Chance7.8%

2 – 1

Chance7.6%

0 – 2

Chance7.1%

2 – 0

Chance5.6%

1 / 1

Chance19%

1 / X

Chance5.1%

1 / 2

Chance2.2%

X / 1

Chance12.2%

X / X

Chance16.4%

X / 2

Chance14.4%

2 / 1

Chance1.9%

2 / X

Chance5.1%

2 / 2

Chance23.7%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Napoli · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.41

NapoliComo
Recent form75%25%
Attack67%33%
Defence100%0%
Goals modelNo data to compare
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall57%43%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Napoli10 scored · 7 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Como12 scored · 7 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Napoli

Total shots13
Blocked5
50% off target50% on target
31% inside box69% outside box
Total passes507
Accurate passes453 (89%)
Possession55%

Como

Total shots20
Blocked7
54% off target46% on target
65% inside box35% outside box
Total passes583
Accurate passes511 (88%)
Possession59%

Team news

Napoli 4-3-3

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri

  1. A. Meret
  2. G. Di Lorenzo
  3. A. Rrahmani
  4. R. Marin
  5. M. Olivera
  6. F. Anguissa
  7. S. Lobotka
  8. S. McTominay
  9. M. Politano
  10. R. Hojlund
  11. N. Lang

Como 4-2-3-1

Coach: Cesc Fabregas

  1. J. Butez
  2. Y. Couto
  3. J. Ramon
  4. T. Chalobah
  5. A. Valle
  6. L. Milla
  7. L. Da Cunha
  8. A. Diao
  9. N. Paz
  10. M. Baturina
  11. A. Douvikas

Injuries and suspensions

  • P. Mazzocchi (Napoli): Knee Injury
  • J. Addai (Como): Achilles Tendon Injury
  • Giovane (Napoli): Groin Injury
  • Luca Marianucci (Napoli): Jumpers Knee
  • A. Buongiorno (Napoli): Jumpers Knee

Napoli vs Como: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples

Napoli host Como in Italy Serie A at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. In the current table, Napoli sit 9th on 10 points and Como are 5th on 14.

Form: Napoli have taken 4W 1D 0L from their last 5, Como 1W 4D 0L from theirs. Over their last 8 matches Napoli average 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; Como average 1.9 and 1.1.

In their last 5 meetings Napoli have won 1, Como 1 and 3 were drawn, averaging 1.8 goals a game with both teams scoring in 60%.

The feed's model puts Napoli at 45%, the draw at 45% and Como at 10%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : Napoli or draw and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.41, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Napoli vs Como FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Napoli and Como?

Napoli v Como was played on Sun, 30 August 2026 at 16:30 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Italy Serie A, Regular Season - 2.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Napoli are 9th in the table, while Como are 5th.

What is the prediction for Napoli vs Como?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.41.

Who is most likely to win Napoli vs Como?

Napoli and The draw are level at the top: Napoli 45%, draw 45%, Como 10%.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Como?

Both teams scored in 50% of Napoli's last 8 matches and 88% of Como's last 8.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.