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Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estonia · Esiliiga BRegular Season - 32

Narva U21

1st in table · 70 pts

WWWWW

Thu 15 Oct 202617:00 WAT

2 : 0

Full time Prediction won

Tartu Kalev

7th in table · 50 pts

LWWLL

Pre-match win probability

45%Narva U2145%Draw10%Tartu Kalev

Our prediction

Home Win · Narva U21

Narva U21 are the stronger side at 69%.

Odds1.27
Confidence80%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Narva U21 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Tartu Kalev 10%

Season statistics

Esiliiga B · 33 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Narva U21Tartu Kalev
Goals scored (avg)
2.22.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.9
Clean sheets
1410
Failed to scoreLower is better
54
Wins
2216
Biggest win streak
86

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Narva U218W 1D 1L in last 10
  • 11 OctJohvi Phoenix0 – 1Narva U21W
  • 26 SeptLegion1 – 2Narva U21W
  • 19 SeptTallinna Kalev II1 – 2Narva U21W
  • 15 SeptNarva U211 – 0LuunjaW
  • 11 SeptNarva U211 – 0Levadia U19W
Tartu Kalev4W 1D 5L in last 10
  • 10 OctTartu Kalev0 – 2Levadia U19L
  • 26 SeptTulevik6 – 1Tartu KalevL
  • 13 SeptParnu JK Vaprus U210 – 4Tartu KalevW
  • 10 SeptLegion1 – 2Tartu KalevW
  • 6 SeptTartu Kalev0 – 1Narva U21L
H2H
Head to headNarva U21 4W · 1D · Tartu Kalev 2W · 3.4285714285714284 goals a game
  • 6 SeptTartu Kalev0 – 1Narva U21
  • 18 JunNarva U213 – 2Tartu Kalev
  • 14 MarTartu Kalev3 – 0Narva U21
  • 9 NovNarva U216 – 1Tartu Kalev
  • 13 SeptTartu Kalev1 – 1Narva U21
  • 29 MayTartu Kalev2 – 3Narva U21

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.8
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals98%2%
1.5 goals89%11%
2.5 goals72%28%
3.5 goals52%48%

Both teams to score

Yes71.2%
No28.8%

Double chance

1X · Narva U21 or draw67.5%
12 · No draw78.9%
X2 · Tartu Kalev or draw53.6%

Correct score

2 – 18.4%
1 – 18.2%
2 – 27.1%

Both teams to score

Yes71.2%
No28.8%

1X

Chance67.5%

12

Chance78.9%

X2

Chance53.6%

2 – 1

Chance8.4%

1 – 1

Chance8.2%

2 – 2

Chance7.1%

1 – 2

Chance7%

3 – 1

Chance5.7%

2 – 0

Chance4.9%

3 – 2

Chance4.9%

1 – 0

Chance4.8%

1 / 1

Chance29.1%

1 / X

Chance5.5%

1 / 2

Chance2.8%

X / 1

Chance13.6%

X / X

Chance10.2%

X / 2

Chance10.2%

2 / 1

Chance3.7%

2 / X

Chance5.5%

2 / 2

Chance19.5%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Narva U21 · Our pick: Home Win at 1.27

Narva U21Tartu Kalev
Recent form71%29%
Attack50%50%
Defence83%17%
Goals model77%23%
Head-to-head71%29%
Overall69%31%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Narva U2167 scored · 38 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Tartu Kalev74 scored · 58 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

8 match streak · Esiliiga B

Narva U21 have scored in each of their last 8 matches in Esiliiga B.

8 match streak · Esiliiga B

Narva U21 are unbeaten in their last 8 matches in Esiliiga B.

7 match streak · Esiliiga B

Narva U21 have won each of their last 7 matches in Esiliiga B.

Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev: prediction & preview

Estonia · Esiliiga B · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

Narva U21 host Tartu Kalev in Estonia Esiliiga B. In the current table, Narva U21 sit 1st on 70 points and Tartu Kalev are 7th on 50.

Form: Narva U21 have taken 5W 0D 0L from their last 5, Tartu Kalev 2W 0D 3L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Narva U21 average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded; Tartu Kalev average 1.1 and 2.3.

In their last 7 meetings Narva U21 have won 4, Tartu Kalev 2 and 1 were drawn, averaging 3.4 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Narva U21 at 45%, the draw at 45% and Tartu Kalev at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Narva U21 or draw.

Our published call was Home Win at 1.27, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Narva U21 and Tartu Kalev?

Narva U21 v Tartu Kalev was played on Thu, 15 October 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Estonia Esiliiga B, Regular Season - 32.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Narva U21 are 1st in the table, while Tartu Kalev are 7th.

What is the prediction for Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Our prediction is Home Win at odds of 1.27.

Who is most likely to win Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Narva U21 and The draw are level at the top: Narva U21 45%, draw 45%, Tartu Kalev 10%.

Will both teams score in Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?

Both teams scored in 30% of Narva U21's last 10 matches and 40% of Tartu Kalev's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.