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Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProRegular Season - 22

Orense SC

13th in table · 33 pts

LDLLW

Sun 26 Jul 202621:45 WAT

2 : 3

Full time Prediction won

Independiente del Valle

1st in table · 74 pts

Pre-match win probability

0%Orense SC50%Draw50%Independiente del Valle

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Odds1.27
Confidence–
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Orense SC 0%
  • Draw 50%
  • Independiente del Valle 50%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 32 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Orense SCIndependiente del Valle
Goals scored (avg)
1.22.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.1
Clean sheets
611
Failed to scoreLower is better
93
Wins
925
Biggest win streak
311

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Orense SC1W 1D 3L in last 5
  • 23 JulOrense SC2 – 1AucasW
  • 20 JulMushuc Runa SC2 – 1Orense SCL
  • 17 JulOrense SC0 – 2EmelecL
  • 11 JulManta FC0 – 0Orense SCD
  • 7 JulOrense SC1 – 2Tecnico UniversitarioL
Independiente del Valle0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headOrense SC 0W · 2D · Independiente del Valle 5W · 1.7142857142857142 goals a game
    • 4 AprIndependiente del Valle2 – 0Orense SC
    • 23 NovIndependiente del Valle0 – 0Orense SC
    • 17 OctOrense SC1 – 2Independiente del Valle
    • 17 AugIndependiente del Valle2 – 1Orense SC
    • 27 AprOrense SC1 – 2Independiente del Valle
    • 1 DecOrense SC0 – 0Independiente del Valle

    Betting markets

    Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

    Model xG 3.1
    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals95%5%
    1.5 goals81%19%
    2.5 goals59%41%
    3.5 goals36%64%

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.1%
    No41.9%

    Double chance

    1X · Orense SC or draw45.1%
    12 · No draw77.7%
    X2 · Independiente del Valle or draw77.2%

    Correct score

    1 – 110.3%
    1 – 29.8%
    0 – 19%

    Both teams to score

    Yes58.1%
    No41.9%

    1X

    Chance45.1%

    12

    Chance77.7%

    X2

    Chance77.2%

    1 – 1

    Chance10.3%

    1 – 2

    Chance9.8%

    0 – 1

    Chance9%

    0 – 2

    Chance8.5%

    1 – 3

    Chance6.2%

    2 – 1

    Chance6%

    2 – 2

    Chance5.7%

    1 – 0

    Chance5.4%

    1 / 1

    Chance12.9%

    1 / X

    Chance4.9%

    1 / 2

    Chance3.2%

    X / 1

    Chance8.3%

    X / X

    Chance12.6%

    X / 2

    Chance17%

    2 / 1

    Chance1.7%

    2 / X

    Chance4.9%

    2 / 2

    Chance34.7%

    Model comparison

    Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27

    Orense SCIndependiente del Valle
    Recent form21%79%
    Attack17%83%
    Defence22%78%
    Goals model23%77%
    Head-to-head7%93%
    Overall20%80%

    Goals by time period

    When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

    Scored Conceded

    Orense SC38 scored · 48 conceded

    0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

    Independiente del Valle73 scored · 37 conceded

    0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

    Shots & passes

    Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

    Orense SC

    Total shots10.4
    Blocked2.6
    56% off target44% on target
    62% inside box38% outside box
    Total passes418.4
    Accurate passes346.8 (83%)
    Possession57%

    Team news

    Orense SC 4-3-3

    Coach: Hernan Torres

    1. Jordy Ortiz
    2. Pedro Velasco
    3. Alan Lorenzo
    4. Steven Quiñónez
    5. Beder Caicedo
    6. Sergio Vásquez
    7. Gonzalo Martin Rostagno
    8. Renny Jaramillo
    9. Agustin Herrera
    10. Miguel Parrales
    11. Michael Bermúdez

    Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1

    Coach: Joaquin Papa

    1. Aldair Quintana
    2. Jhon Espinoza
    3. Richard Schunke
    4. Juan Viacava
    5. Gustavo Cortez
    6. Jhegson Méndez
    7. Matías Perello
    8. Darwin Guagua
    9. Ronald Briones
    10. Emerson Pata
    11. Juan Angulo

    Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle: prediction & preview

    Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala

    Orense SC host Independiente del Valle in Ecuador Liga Pro at Estadio 9 de Mayo. In the current table, Orense SC sit 13th on 33 points and Independiente del Valle are 1st on 74.

    In their last 7 meetings Orense SC have won 0, Independiente del Valle 5 and 2 were drawn, averaging 1.7 goals a game with both teams scoring in 43%.

    The feed's model puts Orense SC at 0%, the draw at 50% and Independiente del Valle at 50%. Its own advice: Winner : Independiente del Valle.

    Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, which landed.

    Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

    Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

    8 questions

    When is the match between Orense SC and Independiente del Valle?

    Orense SC v Independiente del Valle was played on Sun, 26 July 2026 at 20:45 UTC.

    Which league is this match in?

    Ecuador Liga Pro, Regular Season - 22.

    What is their ranking in the league table this season?

    Orense SC are 13th in the table, while Independiente del Valle are 1st.

    What is the prediction for Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

    Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.27.

    Who is most likely to win Orense SC vs Independiente del Valle?

    The draw and Independiente del Valle are level at the top: Orense SC 0%, draw 50%, Independiente del Valle 50%.

    How accurate is the prediction for this match?

    The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.