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Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ARegular Season - 24

Palmeiras

1st in table · 66 pts

DLW

Sun 23 Aug 202620:00 WAT

4 : 1

Full time Prediction won

Vasco DA Gama

15th in table · 35 pts

DLW

Pre-match win probability

45%Palmeiras45%Draw10%Vasco DA Gama

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Odds1.24
Confidence–
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Palmeiras 45%
  • Draw 45%
  • Vasco DA Gama 10%

Season statistics

Serie A · 31 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.71.4
Clean sheets
144
Failed to scoreLower is better
410
Wins
199
Biggest win streak
53

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Palmeiras1W 1D 1L in last 3
  • 19 AugCerro Porteno0 – 1PalmeirasW
  • 15 AugFluminense3 – 2PalmeirasL
  • 12 AugPalmeiras1 – 1Cerro PortenoD
Vasco DA Gama1W 1D 1L in last 3
  • 20 AugOlimpia1 – 4Vasco DA GamaW
  • 16 AugVasco DA Gama0 – 3SantosL
  • 13 AugVasco DA Gama0 – 0OlimpiaD
H2H
Head to headPalmeiras 5W · 1D · Vasco DA Gama 1W · 2.142857142857143 goals a game
  • 12 MarVasco DA Gama2 – 1Palmeiras
  • 1 OctPalmeiras3 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 4 MayVasco DA Gama0 – 1Palmeiras
  • 22 SeptVasco DA Gama0 – 1Palmeiras
  • 14 JunPalmeiras2 – 0Vasco DA Gama
  • 27 AugPalmeiras1 – 0Vasco DA Gama

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2.5
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals92%8%
1.5 goals71%29%
2.5 goals46%54%
3.5 goals24%76%

Both teams to score

Yes48.3%
No51.7%

Double chance

1X · Palmeiras or draw76.8%
12 · No draw74.5%
X2 · Vasco DA Gama or draw48.7%

Correct score

1 – 012.7%
1 – 112.1%
2 – 09.9%

Both teams to score

Yes48.3%
No51.7%

1X

Chance76.8%

12

Chance74.5%

X2

Chance48.7%

1 – 0

Chance12.7%

1 – 1

Chance12.1%

2 – 0

Chance9.9%

2 – 1

Chance9.4%

0 – 0

Chance8.2%

0 – 1

Chance7.8%

1 – 2

Chance5.7%

3 – 0

Chance5.1%

1 / 1

Chance31.3%

1 / X

Chance4.7%

1 / 2

Chance1.3%

X / 1

Chance17.6%

X / X

Chance16.2%

X / 2

Chance9.1%

2 / 1

Chance2.4%

2 / X

Chance4.7%

2 / 2

Chance12.8%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Palmeiras · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
Recent form78%22%
Attack91%9%
Defence50%50%
Goals model73%27%
Head-to-head80%20%
Overall75%25%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Palmeiras52 scored · 24 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Vasco DA Gama38 scored · 41 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Palmeiras

Total shots13
Blocked3
70% off target30% on target
62% inside box38% outside box
Total passes296
Accurate passes199 (67%)
Possession43%

Team news

Palmeiras 3-4-1-2

Coach: Ferreira Abel

  1. Carlos Miguel
  2. Agustín Giay
  3. Gustavo Gómez
  4. Alexander Barboza
  5. Allan
  6. Andreas Pereira
  7. Marlon Freitas
  8. Arthur Gabriel
  9. Mauricio
  10. Vitor Roque
  11. José Manuel López

Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1

Coach: Pedro Emanuel

  1. Léo Jardim
  2. Paulo Henrique
  3. Carlos Cuesta
  4. Robert Renan
  5. Cuiabano
  6. Santiago Sosa
  7. Adson
  8. Tchê Tchê
  9. Thiago Mendes
  10. Andrés Gómez
  11. David

Injuries and suspensions

  • Jefte (Palmeiras): Knee Injury
  • Paulinho (Palmeiras): Muscle Injury
  • J. Piquerez (Palmeiras): Foot Injury
  • R. Sosa (Palmeiras): Muscle Injury
  • Brenner (Vasco DA Gama): Knee Injury
  • Jair (Vasco DA Gama): Muscle Injury
  • Mateus Carvalho (Vasco DA Gama): Knee Injury
  • J. Rojas (Vasco DA Gama): Inactive

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 · Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo

Palmeiras host Vasco DA Gama in Brazil Serie A at Nubank Parque. In the current table, Palmeiras sit 1st on 66 points and Vasco DA Gama are 15th on 35.

Form: Palmeiras have taken 1W 1D 1L from their last 3, Vasco DA Gama 1W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 3 matches Palmeiras average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; Vasco DA Gama average 1.3 and 1.3.

In their last 7 meetings Palmeiras have won 5, Vasco DA Gama 1 and 1 were drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game with both teams scoring in 29%.

The feed's model puts Palmeiras at 45%, the draw at 45% and Vasco DA Gama at 10%. Its own advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw.

Our published call was Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama?

Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama was played on Sun, 23 August 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Brazil Serie A, Regular Season - 24.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Palmeiras are 1st in the table, while Vasco DA Gama are 15th.

What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.24.

Who is most likely to win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Palmeiras and The draw are level at the top: Palmeiras 45%, draw 45%, Vasco DA Gama 10%.

Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?

Both teams scored in 67% of Palmeiras's last 3 matches and 33% of Vasco DA Gama's last 3.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.