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Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaRegular Season - 5

Real Sociedad

5th in table · 16 pts

Sun 13 Sept 202620:00 WAT

0 : 3

Full timePrediction lost

Atletico Madrid

2nd in table · 22 pts

Pre-match win probability

10%Real Sociedad45%Draw45%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Both Teams to Score

The market prices both teams to score at 1.53.

Odds1.53
Confidence80%
ResultLost
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Real Sociedad 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • Atletico Madrid 45%

Also rated:Home or Away (12) @ 1.28Away Win Either Half @ 1.68

Season statistics

La Liga · 8 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Goals scored (avg)
1.52.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.90.9
Clean sheets
14
Failed to scoreLower is better
31
Wins
47
Biggest win streak
11

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals96%4%
1.5 goals83%17%
2.5 goals62%38%
3.5 goals40%60%

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Double chance

1X · Real Sociedad or draw44.1%
12 · No draw78.4%
X2 · Atletico Madrid or draw77.5%

Correct score

1 – 19.8%
1 – 29.8%
0 – 18.2%

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

1X

Chance44.1%

12

Chance78.4%

X2

Chance77.5%

1 – 1

Chance9.8%

1 – 2

Chance9.8%

0 – 1

Chance8.2%

0 – 2

Chance8.2%

1 – 3

Chance6.5%

2 – 1

Chance5.9%

2 – 2

Chance5.9%

0 – 3

Chance5.4%

1 / 1

Chance12.8%

1 / X

Chance4.9%

1 / 2

Chance3.4%

X / 1

Chance8%

X / X

Chance11.8%

X / 2

Chance16.9%

2 / 1

Chance1.7%

2 / X

Chance4.9%

2 / 2

Chance35.7%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Both Teams to Score at 1.53

Real SociedadAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack46%54%
Defence43%57%
Goals model67%33%
Head-to-head38%62%
Overall47%53%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Real Sociedad13 scored · 14 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Atletico Madrid19 scored · 8 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Team news

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo

  1. A. Remiro
  2. J. Aramburu
  3. L. Beitia
  4. M. Sarr
  5. S. Gomez
  6. Y. Herrera
  7. C. Soler
  8. A. Barrenetxea
  9. L. Sucic
  10. G. Guedes
  11. M. Oyarzabal

Atletico Madrid 3-4-2-1

Coach: Diego Simeone

  1. J. Oblak
  2. M. Pubill
  3. C. Romero
  4. D. Hancko
  5. G. Simeone
  6. M. Llorente
  7. M. Hjulmand
  8. A. Grimaldo
  9. Lee Kang-In
  10. A. Baena
  11. A. Lookman

Injuries and suspensions

  • J. Martin (Real Sociedad): Red Card
  • A. Odriozola (Real Sociedad): Knee Injury
  • I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad): Injury
  • J. Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • P. Barrios (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • A. Sorloth (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • J. Martin (Real Sociedad): Red Card
  • A. Odriozola (Real Sociedad): Knee Injury
  • I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad): Injury
  • J. Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • P. Barrios (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury
  • A. Sorloth (Atletico Madrid): Muscle Injury

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · Anoeta, San Sebastian

Real Sociedad host Atletico Madrid in Spain La Liga at Anoeta. In the current table, Real Sociedad sit 5th on 16 points and Atletico Madrid are 2nd on 22.

The feed's model puts Real Sociedad at 10%, the draw at 45% and Atletico Madrid at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid.

Our published call was Both Teams to Score at 1.53, which did not land.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

8 questions

When is the match between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid?

Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid was played on Sun, 13 September 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Spain La Liga, Regular Season - 5.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Real Sociedad are 5th in the table, while Atletico Madrid are 2nd.

What is the prediction for Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction is Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.53.

Who is most likely to win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?

The draw and Atletico Madrid are level at the top: Real Sociedad 10%, draw 45%, Atletico Madrid 45%.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.