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Tacuarembo vs La Luz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Segunda División2nd Phase - 23

Tacuarembo

14th in table · 3 pts

DDDLL

Sat 17 Oct 202621:00 WAT

0 : 1

Full time Prediction won

La Luz

9th in table · 7 pts

WLWWD

Pre-match win probability

10%Tacuarembo45%Draw45%La Luz

Our prediction

Home or Away (12)

A decisive result is priced at 1.28.

Odds1.28
Confidence95%
ResultWon
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Tacuarembo 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • La Luz 45%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 29 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

TacuaremboLa Luz
Goals scored (avg)
0.80.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.1
Clean sheets
613
Failed to scoreLower is better
1212
Wins
69
Biggest win streak
22

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Tacuarembo1W 4D 5L in last 10
  • 10 OctCerrito2 – 1TacuaremboL
  • 3 OctTacuarembo0 – 1AtenasL
  • 28 SeptPaysandu2 – 2TacuaremboD
  • 20 SeptTacuarembo1 – 1Sportivo HuracanD
  • 12 SeptUruguay Montevideo2 – 2TacuaremboD
La Luz3W 3D 4L in last 10
  • 11 OctLa Luz1 – 1Plaza ColoniaD
  • 4 OctLa Luz3 – 2CA River PlateW
  • 27 SeptCerrito1 – 2La LuzW
  • 19 SeptLa Luz0 – 1AtenasL
  • 12 SeptPaysandu0 – 1La LuzW
H2H
Head to headTacuarembo 1W · 3D · La Luz 3W · 2 goals a game
  • 13 JulLa Luz2 – 0Tacuarembo
  • 17 MarTacuarembo1 – 1La Luz
  • 30 AugTacuarembo1 – 1La Luz
  • 7 JunLa Luz1 – 2Tacuarembo
  • 30 MarTacuarembo1 – 1La Luz
  • 29 SeptLa Luz2 – 0Tacuarembo

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 2
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals87%14%
1.5 goals59%41%
2.5 goals32%68%
3.5 goals14%86%

Both teams to score

Yes39.9%
No60.1%

Double chance

1X · Tacuarembo or draw62.8%
12 · No draw69.2%
X2 · La Luz or draw68%

Correct score

0 – 114.2%
0 – 013.5%
1 – 113.5%

Both teams to score

Yes39.9%
No60.1%

1X

Chance62.8%

12

Chance69.2%

X2

Chance68%

0 – 1

Chance14.2%

0 – 0

Chance13.5%

1 – 1

Chance13.5%

1 – 0

Chance12.9%

0 – 2

Chance7.5%

1 – 2

Chance7.1%

2 – 1

Chance6.4%

2 – 0

Chance6.1%

1 / 1

Chance17.8%

1 / X

Chance4.5%

1 / 2

Chance1.5%

X / 1

Chance12.9%

X / X

Chance21.7%

X / 2

Chance14.7%

2 / 1

Chance1.3%

2 / X

Chance4.5%

2 / 2

Chance21.1%

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Home or Away (12) at 1.28

TacuaremboLa Luz
Recent form23%77%
Attack46%54%
Defence38%62%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall42%58%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Tacuarembo21 scored · 35 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

La Luz25 scored · 32 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Trends

8 match streak · Segunda División

Tacuarembo have conceded in each of their last 8 matches in Segunda División.

4 match streak · Segunda División

La Luz have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Segunda División.

Tacuarembo vs La Luz: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Segunda División · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Tacuarembo host La Luz in Uruguay Segunda División. In the current table, Tacuarembo sit 14th on 3 points and La Luz are 9th on 7.

Form: Tacuarembo have taken 0W 3D 2L from their last 5, La Luz 3W 1D 1L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Tacuarembo average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded; La Luz average 0.9 and 1.2.

In their last 7 meetings Tacuarembo have won 1, La Luz 3 and 3 were drawn, averaging 2.0 goals a game with both teams scoring in 57%.

The feed's model puts Tacuarembo at 10%, the draw at 45% and La Luz at 45%. Its own advice: Combo Double chance : draw or La Luz and -3.5 goals.

Our published call was Home or Away (12) at 1.28, which landed.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Tacuarembo vs La Luz FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Tacuarembo and La Luz?

Tacuarembo v La Luz was played on Sat, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Uruguay Segunda División, 2nd Phase - 23.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Tacuarembo are 14th in the table, while La Luz are 9th.

What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs La Luz?

Our prediction is Home or Away (12) at odds of 1.28.

Who is most likely to win Tacuarembo vs La Luz?

The draw and La Luz are level at the top: Tacuarembo 10%, draw 45%, La Luz 45%.

Will both teams score in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?

Both teams scored in 50% of Tacuarembo's last 10 matches and 50% of La Luz's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.