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Union La Calera vs U. Catolica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Chile · Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 25

Union La Calera

16th in table · 18 pts

LWDDD

Sun 25 Oct 202619:00 WAT

vs

Not started

U. Catolica

3rd in table · 42 pts

WWWDD

Pre-match win probability

10%Union La Calera45%Draw45%U. Catolica

Our prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Odds1.25
Confidence95%
ResultPending
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Union La Calera 10%
  • Draw 45%
  • U. Catolica 45%

Season statistics

Primera División · 22 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Union La CaleraU. Catolica
Goals scored (avg)
0.92.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.4
Clean sheets
55
Failed to scoreLower is better
83
Wins
413
Biggest win streak
22

Recent form

Last 5 matches · newest first

Union La Calera2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 11 OctConcepción1 – 1Union La CaleraD
  • 26 SeptU. Catolica0 – 0Union La CaleraD
  • 23 SeptUnion La Calera1 – 1U. CatolicaD
  • 14 SeptUnion La Calera1 – 0Deportes LimacheW
  • 6 SeptO'Higgins2 – 1Union La CaleraL
U. Catolica5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 26 SeptU. Catolica0 – 0Union La CaleraD
  • 23 SeptUnion La Calera1 – 1U. CatolicaD
  • 12 SeptPalestino2 – 3U. CatolicaW
  • 5 SeptEverton de Vina0 – 1U. CatolicaW
  • 1 SeptU. Catolica3 – 2O'HigginsW
H2H
Head to headUnion La Calera 2W · 4D · U. Catolica 2W · 2.125 goals a game
  • 26 SeptU. Catolica0 – 0Union La Calera
  • 23 SeptUnion La Calera1 – 1U. Catolica
  • 21 AprU. Catolica1 – 2Union La Calera
  • 6 DecU. Catolica2 – 1Union La Calera
  • 20 JunUnion La Calera1 – 1U. Catolica
  • 21 MarU. Catolica0 – 1Union La Calera

Betting markets

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates

Model xG 3.1
Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals95%5%
1.5 goals81%19%
2.5 goals59%41%
3.5 goals36%64%

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

Double chance

1X · Union La Calera or draw45.1%
12 · No draw77.7%
X2 · U. Catolica or draw77.2%

Correct score

1 – 110.3%
1 – 29.8%
0 – 19%

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

1X

Chance45.1%

12

Chance77.7%

X2

Chance77.2%

1 – 1

Chance10.3%

1 – 2

Chance9.8%

0 – 1

Chance9%

0 – 2

Chance8.5%

1 – 3

Chance6.2%

2 – 1

Chance6%

2 – 2

Chance5.7%

1 – 0

Chance5.4%

1 / 1

Chance12.9%

1 / X

Chance4.9%

1 / 2

Chance3.2%

X / 1

Chance8.3%

X / X

Chance12.6%

X / 2

Chance17%

2 / 1

Chance1.7%

2 / X

Chance4.9%

2 / 2

Chance34.7%

Home +0.25

Chance45%
Odds2.10

Away -0.25

Chance55%
Odds1.70

Home +0.5

Chance52%
Odds1.82

Away -0.5

Chance48%
Odds1.98

Home +0.75

Chance58%
Odds1.62

Away -0.75

Chance42%
Odds2.25

Implied from bookmaker odds, margin removed.

Over 9.5

Chance52%
Odds1.82

Under 9.5

Chance48%
Odds1.98

Total corners over/under.

Over 4.5

Chance62%
Odds1.50

Under 4.5

Chance38%
Odds2.47

Over 5.5

Chance49%
Odds1.91

Under 5.5

Chance51%
Odds1.82

Over 6.5

Chance36%
Odds2.57

Under 6.5

Chance64%
Odds1.47

Total cards over/under.

  • Fernando Zampedri1.9152%
  • Diego Corral2.6038%
  • Justo Giani2.8835%
  • Clemente Montes2.8835%
  • Amaro Perez2.8835%

Implied chance of scoring at any point, from the odds.

Model comparison

Predicted winner: Draw · Our pick: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25

Union La CaleraU. Catolica
Recent form29%71%
Attack23%77%
Defence64%36%
Goals model37%63%
Head-to-head62%38%
Overall45%55%

Goals by time period

When each side scores and concedes, in 15-minute bands

Scored Conceded

Union La Calera20 scored · 35 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

U. Catolica48 scored · 35 conceded

0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Shots & passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches

Union La Calera

Total shots13.3
Blocked2.8
57% off target43% on target
60% inside box40% outside box
Total passes387.8
Accurate passes289.8 (75%)
Possession49%

U. Catolica

Total shots10.8
Blocked1.3
63% off target37% on target
53% inside box47% outside box
Total passes374
Accurate passes290.8 (78%)
Possession45%

Trends

6 match streak · Primera División

U. Catolica have scored in each of their last 6 matches in Primera División.

4 match streak · Primera División

U. Catolica are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Primera División.

4 match streak · Primera División

U. Catolica have won each of their last 4 matches in Primera División.

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica: prediction & preview

Chile · Primera División · Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera

Union La Calera host U. Catolica in Chile Primera División at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan . In the table, Union La Calera sit 16th on 18 points and U. Catolica are 3rd on 42.

Form: Union La Calera have taken 1W 3D 1L from their last 5, U. Catolica 3W 2D 0L from theirs. Over their last 10 matches Union La Calera average 1.0 goals scored and 0.9 conceded; U. Catolica average 1.4 and 1.2.

In their last 8 meetings Union La Calera have won 2, U. Catolica 2 and 4 were drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game with both teams scoring in 63%.

The feed's model puts Union La Calera at 10%, the draw at 45% and U. Catolica at 45%. Its own advice: Double chance : draw or U. Catolica.

Our call for this match is Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25. The market prices at least two goals at 1.25.

Published by 4CastBetFree football predictions

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica FAQs

9 questions

When is the match between Union La Calera and U. Catolica?

Union La Calera v U. Catolica is scheduled on Sun, 25 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC.

Which league is this match in?

Chile Primera División, Regular Season - 25.

What is their ranking in the league table this season?

Union La Calera are 16th in the table, while U. Catolica are 3rd.

What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at odds of 1.25.

Who is most likely to win Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

The draw and U. Catolica are level at the top: Union La Calera 10%, draw 45%, U. Catolica 45%.

Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?

Both teams scored in 50% of Union La Calera's last 10 matches and 60% of U. Catolica's last 10.

How accurate is the prediction for this match?

The prediction is based on statistical analysis and the football data available for both teams. Every pick is marked won or lost after full time, so the record can be checked.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed as new results, line-ups and odds become available, and finished matches are graded automatically.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. Football betting involves real financial risk and no prediction is a guaranteed outcome. Predictions are informational and entertainment content — bet within your means.